May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

stuffradio wrote: Wed May 01, 2024 5:43 am Only 5 months until Thanksgiving!

The latest model is showing we may get to ~super Nina by Fall/Winter? Also June looks potentially wet.

nino34Sea.png
CFSv2.NaPrec.20240501.202406.gif
Yes and egg grog :wtf: actually l saw egg grog in Walmart during the Easter weekend that's getting a bit much. I'm guessing the emphasis was on Easter eggs Stuffmando. :shifty:
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Thu May 02, 2024 9:30 am Ridiculously stupid clickbait article. It's totally NORMAL to see warm spells even the odd hot spell in May. It would be abnormal if it remained cool and wet.
The truth is that it looks like one or two warmish days this week (Thus and Fri) then wet and cool for weekend and early next week. Some models are then showing a big ridge building in late next week perhaps for many days. Would certainly mean above normal temps going into the middle of the month. Nothing extreme though. The latest CPC is latching on to this pattern change. Would be nice it's been so cold it hasn't felt like April or May.
Thank you for your astute as always analysis Cmen79. :thumbup: l'm still waiting for your weeks and weeks of sunshine from your last analysis in March. :D
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Glacier wrote: Wed May 01, 2024 5:15 pm What the hell does this even mean!??? A heatwave this week? Is this satire? Was this written by someone trying to undermine the credibility of climate science because, wow, this is obviously alarmism level 100! My forecasts show near average to maybe 2 degrees above average this week. What's so exceptional about that!?

https://www.castanet.net/news/BC/485257 ... eek#485257

That article is nothing more or less than full out fear mongering clickbait. It's a shame that much of journalism is based on fear rather than facts.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Source: https://x.com/ensembleator/status/1786379409748050327

Screenshot 2024-05-03 at 11.42.33 AM.png
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri May 03, 2024 12:05 pm Source: https://x.com/ensembleator/status/1786379409748050327


Screenshot 2024-05-03 at 11.42.33 AM.png
You love to see it! :clap: 8-)
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

They have a free webinar http://bamwx.com/webinar
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Just poppin in to say hell yes.
Later!
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Fri May 03, 2024 7:09 pm Just poppin in to say hell yes.
Later!
Nukes r off to round 2! :cheerlead:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri May 03, 2024 12:40 pm You love to see it! :clap: 8-)
No heat humps plz 🙏 :(
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri May 03, 2024 9:16 pm No heat humps plz 🙏 :(
Image
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

May the 4th be with you everyone! Today is pretty balmy with clouds. It seems the rain that was forecast has disappeared but it looks like we could get rain tomorrow and into the first half of the week.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri May 03, 2024 12:40 pm You love to see it! :clap: 8-)
Highs of 25 and lows of 12, sure.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

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PortKells wrote: Sat May 04, 2024 1:10 pm Highs of 35 and lows of 12, sure.
Fixed! 8-)
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri May 03, 2024 1:00 am Thank you for your astute as always analysis Cmen79. :thumbup: l'm still waiting for your weeks and weeks of sunshine from your last analysis in March. :D
Oh it's coming. Except it will be much warmer than normal too. Similar to 2016 or 1992 (also coming off an El Nino and going into LA Nina). This ridge pattern looks like it's here to stay for awhile too. Literally no end in sight.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Sat May 04, 2024 6:34 pm Oh it's coming. Except it will be much warmer than normal too. Similar to 2016 or 1992 (also coming off an El Nino and going into LA Nina). This ridge pattern looks like it's here to stay for awhile too. Literally no end in sight.
Screenshot_20240504_182211_Samsung Internet.jpg
:shock: Yikes!
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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