March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2024 12:36 pm For reference, this would have been the 2022-23 scoreboard:
:cancel: Climo 75
:14clown: GFS 102
I backtested it one more year to 2021-22 (I'm procrastinating with this today :shh: ):
:cancel: Climo 75
:14clown: GFS 82

I think this system officially works well. Climo scores very consistently, which it should.
:14clown: won by a bit in 2021-22, which I think we can agree was a solid and slightly above average year
:14clown: won by a lot in 2022-23, which we probably agree was a very good year
:cancel: won by a lot in 2023-24, as it should in a fairly typical El Nino year with just one standout event
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Nito!! Get your snow mower ready!!
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hope we see clearing on Monday night. Tuesday morning could be very cold!
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Heavy snow in the valley right now!
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

PortKells wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2024 2:21 pm Nito!! Get your snow mower ready!!

EDEA2333-92BE-4AE9-B3FE-F40668C427BE.png
That looks like one of those convergence type setups.

Typer, you remember that time we had one in the area and it dumped quite a bit of snow? Sunny in Vancouver at the same time.
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Catnip wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2024 3:16 pm That looks like one of those convergence type setups.

Typer, you remember that time we had one in the area and it dumped quite a bit of snow? Sunny in Vancouver at the same time.

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Yeah, remember that one clearly. The highway was a mess between between Kensington exit and Port Mann Bridge. Very heavy snow for a couple of hours.
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Snowing @ the pond in south Sardis for the last hour.
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The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Abbotsford to the central valley is currently getting dumped on per latest radar imagery and eyeball reports. :wtf: :o
Screenshot_20240302_152723_WeatherCAN.jpg
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The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Grassy knowles turning white in the central valley now. :shock:
20240302_155829.jpg
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The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2024 3:16 pm That looks like one of those convergence type setups.

Typer, you remember that time we had one in the area and it dumped quite a bit of snow? Sunny in Vancouver at the same time.

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5 km further west, please.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Campbell River-Comox throwing EC a curve ball or two, snowfall warning ,then warning ended,now another snowfall warning, all in last 6 hrs.
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2024 3:16 pm That looks like one of those convergence type setups.

Typer, you remember that time we had one in the area and it dumped quite a bit of snow? Sunny in Vancouver at the same time.

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Yep, that big one was in late January 2008! 10-20cm here in just a few hours while it was sunny in downtown.
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2024 4:14 pm Campbell River-Comox throwing EC a curve ball or two, snowfall warning ,then warning ended,now another snowfall warning, all in last 6 hrs.
Goal no goal, goal! skipper Grumps.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John's hill in Chilliwack snow covered afew hundred feet up. :thumbup: :o
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The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: March 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Mar 02, 2024 12:26 pm Would have been a crazy few days if the trough axis had shifted East and not dug so much. Models suggest one last shower late tomorrow into early Monday as the trough disintegrates.

North Shore mountains has seen 20-30cm in the past day. :thumbup:
Troff usually digs too far :roll:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
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