February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Abby_wx
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

0.1C with moderate snow in Mission. About 1 cm on the grass, and just starting to stick to the roads.
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Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Moderate snow now here. Starting to stick on deck and grass. Currently 0.4C with a dew point of -2C.
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 7:10 pm I have never seen more than some fleeting slushy flakes that melt as soon as they hit the ground in March in the PNW. Not any more than that in 30+ years. It is my March snow jinx.

The only way it snows and sticks in March is if I leave town.

Sorry, I don’t make the rules. I just report the rules. I am not allowed to experience sticking snow in March. There are now two more days in which sticking snow is possible then it is all over for the season.
lol i gotcha. Lets get you out of town asap then.

Actually I dont care much if it snows here, the mountain snow checkmark is everything here. But I do think Friday could be your March slump buster.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Garbage precip intensity out west. Getting donut holed. Hope the next several hours produces at least a bit of a save.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 7:27 pm Garbage precip intensity out west. Getting donut holed. Hope the next several hours produces at least a bit of a save.
Moderate snow at my work in Abbs down near Sumas whiteage beginning now.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 7:27 pm Garbage precip intensity out west. Getting donut holed. Hope the next several hours produces at least a bit of a save.
Looking increasingly like NAM 3km nailed it.
nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-9143200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 7:10 pm I have never seen more than some fleeting slushy flakes that melt as soon as they hit the ground in March in the PNW. Not any more than that in 30+ years. It is my March snow jinx.

The only way it snows and sticks in March is if I leave town.

Sorry, I don’t make the rules. I just report the rules. I am not allowed to experience sticking snow in March. There are now two more days in which sticking snow is possible then it is all over for the season.
The occasional March snow dump in Vancouver isn't rare at all. Pretty common actually, especially away from the water. I think you've just been unlucky.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 7:23 pm lol i gotcha. Lets get you out of town asap then.

Actually I dont care much if it snows here, the mountain snow checkmark is everything here. But I do think Friday could be your March slump buster.
I thought the same last season at this time. But as soon as the calendar rolled over it was bust after bust after bust for metro Vancouver despite the overall favourable pattern and just about everyplace else scoring. Even some places on the Oregon Coast got snow while we got bupkis. It was then that I realized the March snow jinx is real.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 7:49 pm I thought the same last season at this time. But as soon as the calendar rolled over it was bust after bust after bust for metro Vancouver despite the overall favourable pattern and just about everyplace else scoring. Even some places on the Oregon Coast got snow while we got bupkis. It was then that I realized the March snow jinx is real.
That's interesting, but March is definitely a hit or miss month to begin with.

I have a ridiculously lucky streak when it has to do with snow in general, especially major events. For example, I happened to be in the lower mainland for 2008 and Lower Mainland/Victoria for 1996 even though I lived in Williams Lake/Kelowna at the time(s). When I was in Scotland in 2010 they had their biggest arctic blast in decades. I'll throw in Kelowna during that Dec 2017 arctic fart that probably dumped a metre over there and was a dud here.

And I haven't really missed a major one since moving to the farm here, any of the big dumps that is. Hopefully my lucky charm counteracts your jinx on Friday. Or Sunday for that matter.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

March snow jinx already starting to show up on the GFS. Seattle gets snow, Portland gets snow, Eugene gets snow, Oregon Coast gets snow, Lower Mainland gets bupkis. Again.
gfs-deterministic-or_wa-snow_24hr_kuchera-9413200.png
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Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Tue Feb 27, 2024 8:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

I just got home.. drove from South Surrey.

Here is what I saw.. South Surrey around 24th Ave between 152 to 168th Light dusting of white/snow covering grass and roofs. Nothing on the roads. Driving North along 168th through the farmland, snow was falling but not sticking at all. Once up into the Cloverdale area you could see the snow falling a lot better and grass was white with roofs also being white. Nothing on roads. Temp at 0 through this part. When I got up to 168th and Fraser Highway temp dropped to -1 and snow was sticking to almost everything. Once I hit Tynehead at 96th & 168 and up to Highway 1 snow started sticking to the roads and was coming down decently. When I finally got to my area snow was sticking to the road turning it white at -1. So again, Guildford the coldest and snowiest part of Surrey. Mind you I don't know what was happening in Newton.

Currently snowing at -0.8 DP: -2 According to the fence top, I can guess about 1cm has accumulated. So far this has under-performed unless the goods are still coming.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Borderline heavy snow now. Temperature down to 0.2C with the dew point holding at -2C.
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 8:06 pm March snow jinx already starting to show up on the GFS. Seattle gets snow, Portland gets snow, Eugene gets snow, Oregon Coast gets snow, Lower Mainland gets bupkis. Again.

gfs-deterministic-or_wa-snow_24hr_kuchera-9413200.png
Counter point;
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-9650800.png
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by walthz »

Maybe 6 cm on ground near the river in Squamish, mostly in the last hour. Looking better...
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

PortKells wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 8:17 pm Counter point;

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-9650800.png
Pointless map though as it doesn't accurately do precip on the lowlands. I think everyone here knows the GFS map at a a distance out is almost always wrong.
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