February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

[tyweather]

00Z GFS sends most of the snow to Seattle.

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8020000.png

Better than the Euro and NAM that had it by Portland and south.

[SouthSardiswx]

Go home, druncle, you're, well, drunk!

Why you Vanman!

[AbbyJr]

Another snowstorm is forecast for Nova Scotia.

10:01 PM AST Sunday 11 February 2024

Winter storm forecast to pass south of Nova Scotia late Tuesday and early Wednesday.

Potential snowfall accumulations: 20 to 30 cm by noon Wednesday.

Maximum wind gusts: northerly 60 to 70 km/h giving areas of blowing snow.

Location: most of Nova Scotia.

Time frame: spreading across the province from Tuesday afternoon to Tuesday evening. Conditions improving from west to east on Wednesday.

Remarks: Forecast guidance is beginning to give a clearer picture regarding a nor'easter passing south of the province mid-week. At this time, the most likely scenario appears to be 20 to 30 cm of snowfall accumulation for most of the province by noon Wednesday. Any fresh snow from this system has the potential to combine with strengthening northerly winds to reduce visibilities in blowing snow.

As with all nor'easters, small changes in the storm track can result in large changes in the snowfall forecast, and this alert will be updated periodically to reflect the latest information.

Behind this system, a prolonged period of onshore flurries and snow squalls looks likely develop over portions of northeastern mainland Nova Scotia and northern Cape Breton, and these areas could continue to see accumulating snow into Thursday night.

Rapidly accumulating snow could make travel difficult over some locations.

Public Safety Canada encourages everyone to make an emergency plan and get an emergency kit with drinking water, food, medicine, a first-aid kit and a flashlight. For information on emergency plans and kits go to getprepared.gc.ca.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NSstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #NSStorm.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image.png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (1).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (2).png

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20240212144351-626cb3a4bab151205b8aa39bafd063773cd5ce5e.png

20240212144339-87188c7a034b931dd8959618f1eea351c8b527af.png

[Typeing3]

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles


00z GEFS (GFS ensembles)

gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png

00z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)

eps_apcpn_wus_60.png

00z GEPS (GEM ensembles)

gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png

[Hawk]

Throw this one in the "yeah right" category.

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-8074000.png

Monty gets just buried with this map wow

[Forrest Gump]

My wife said it's gonna snow on Thursday.

[SouthSardiswx]

My wife said it's gonna snow on Thursday.

Can't be any worse than E.C's predictions skipper.

[stuffradio]

My wife said it's gonna snow on Thursday.

It's funny because the latest ECMWF only said ~1.2 cm of snow for Abbotsford and the GFS and GEM were both showing no snow at all. It's going to be very borderline or very jackpot. I don't know if we will get any at all though.

[SouthSardiswx]

It's funny because the latest ECMWF only said ~1.2 cm of snow for Abbotsford and the GFS and GEM were both showing no snow at all. It's going to be very borderline or very jackpot. I don't know if we will get any at all though.

Actually it would be if it snowed huffnstuff l'd also put my monopoly money down on no snow avenue.

[Catnip]

Euro is pretty dry for the next 10 days.

Mountains need !

Pattern looks splitty for the next little while.

precipeuro.png

[stuffradio]

I planted my tomatoes and peppers today indoors.

[Glacier]

My wife said it's gonna snow on Thursday.

I hope you set her in her place, and told her that she is a delusional know-nothing old hag. Women love that, especially approaching Valentine's Day.

[Weather101]

[SouthSardiswx]

I hope you set her in her place, and told her that she is a delusional know-nothing old hag. Women love that, especially approaching Valentine's Day.

And a second option would be tossed to the couch 🛋 for the night Glace.
The fun part is making up. it's currently a lovely 11c spring day with a stiff NE Annus rd breeze today at the pond in south Sardis.