February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 20, 2019 8:40 pm GEM looks like Dec 2013,Feb 2014 or Jan 2017 all over again. Backdoor blast; Oregon special!
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_26.png

Southern oregon and northern california are colder than the BC interior. :lol: :lol:
gem_T2m_nwus_39.png
Sadly little to no snow for us.
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Typeing3
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Feb 20, 2019 9:03 pm Sadly little to no snow for us.
Yep. Hence the references. :geek:
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 20, 2019 9:04 pm Yep. Hence the references. :geek:
How do you feel for Friday? My gut is a bust out here in Abbotsford with that S wind.
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Hawk wrote: Wed Feb 20, 2019 1:08 pm Geezus..still that much? I went away for a week got back Monday. Did you guys get dumped on that whole week or what? Thats impressive :eek:
SE Vancouver island has seen 60-90cm this month. Victoria to nanaimo
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

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Weather
Not so fast: Vancouver forecast calling for snowfall again tomorrow
By Elana Shepert - February 20, 2019
While the Lower Mainland saw snowfall last night, the Metro Vancouver weather forecast calls for clear skies on Wednesday, February 20.

Since the skies will be clear tonight, however, conditions will allow for some frigid temperatures. In fact, Environment Canada calls for temperatures to fall as low as minus one tonight – but with a wind chill factor of minus six.

Thursday, February 21 is expected to start out sunny and clear, but the forecast calls for a 60 per cent chance of rain or snow in the evening. What’s more, the forecast calls for periods of rain or snow throughout the day on Friday, February 22 as well as Saturday, February 23.

Vancouver Is Awesome spoke to Matt MacDonald, Meteorologist, Environment Canada, who explained what is predicted to happen with this system.

“Before there is snowfall we expect to see some rain,” he described. “But as the precipitation intensity picks up it will turn into snowfall. This thermodynamic process is known as diabatic cooling – it takes place when precipitation steals warmth from the atmosphere. As the rainfall begins to intensify it cools the atmosphere, which turns it into snowfall.”

MacDonald noted that the latest snowfall in Vancouver had a predicted precipitation value of 5 – 10 mm, whereas this one has 10 – 20 mm. Further, he notes that this amount of rainfall could produce up to 10 cm of snowfall in higher elevations, the Fraser Valley, and the North Shore. With that in mind, he adds that these values can change, and therefore residents should monitor the forecast for the latest updates.

In contrast, Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday are expected to be dry and mostly sunny.

Metro Vancouver Weather Forecast
vancouver weather
Environment Canada
Metro Vancouver has seen some unusually cold temperatures this February. According to Environment Canada’s weather data for the month, the average temperature is a low of one degree. The region has seen temperatures as low as minus nine this month, with a wind chill of minus fourteen.

What’s more, the area has received over triple one month’s snowfall in the first two weeks. The average amount of snowfall for February is 6.3 cm; Metro Vancouver received 22 cm and counting in that time period and counting.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

:dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: NITO
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Feb 20, 2019 9:09 pm How do you feel for Friday? My gut is a bust out here in Abbotsford with that S wind.
We'll see. At this point I'd say 2-4cm for Abbotsford.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Did one of these for Vancouver yesterday. Here's the one for Abbotsford.
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Last edited by Typeing3 on Wed Feb 20, 2019 10:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 20, 2019 9:51 pm Did one of these for Vancouver yesterday. Here's the one for Abbotsford.
Wow...March 5th and 6th, 1951!!! :wtf:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 20, 2019 9:49 pm We'll see. At this point I'd say 2-4cm for Abbotsford.
Tyler Hamilton said 10cm is possible for Abbotsford. But model guidance doesn't seem to fit that imo. That S wind is bad for us S of Fraser.
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

Euro looking cold :icecu: :icecu: :icecu:
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 20, 2019 9:51 pm Did one of these for Vancouver yesterday. Here's the one for Abbotsford.
November 26th, 2006 is really inflated more than reality. They somehow recorded a total of 53.5 cm during that event, but strangely never measured more than 38 cm on the ground. That's a lot of compacting/melting in a 36-hour period, considering it was below freezing. :?
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Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

Euro also shows the low a bit further north. Anyone have precip map for this weekend...
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Wed Feb 20, 2019 9:31 pm :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: NITO
ens_image.png
I go away for a few runs and this happens? Shoot me now.
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