February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Feb 01, 2024 5:38 pm :wave:

:arrow: viewtopic.php?t=571

:thumbup:
I keep forgetting we have a whole other area of topics :lol:
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Chilli the Chilliwackian rat says that's it winter is done. :thumbup: :wave:
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png


-----------------------------------------------------
20240202142736-45e22ace4c23bdb0662c14fd7890f8a477bcf73c.png
20240202142723-196aabfb19c6ef75e347801e5ccd352b15f6b548.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Let's keep climate discussion in the climate change thread. I can move the posts over later.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Mount Cain on Vancouver Island today
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

tyweather wrote: Fri Feb 02, 2024 1:59 pm Mount Cain on Vancouver Island today
That looks absolutely horrible Ty my man this is the worst l've seen in years. Somehow this was predicted so we had advanced warning no one should be surprised. :sick:
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

So it begins, Victoria today
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

tyweather wrote: Fri Feb 02, 2024 3:54 pm So it begins, Victoria today
Ah yes, I can almost smell the pollen around the corner. Sigh.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

tyweather wrote: Fri Feb 02, 2024 1:59 pm Mount Cain on Vancouver Island today
Shades of 2015, 2010, 1992, 1977, and 1970. Might be missing a few other years but seldom is the snowpack across the south coast mountains this low by early February.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Alaska has been nailing it, it's interesting Anchorage beat the Feb 1st record set back in 1989 of -17f the new record is -18f we all know what happened here that Feb. :D

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=S8C35PwMVH8
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Fri Feb 02, 2024 6:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:arrow: :arrow: :arrow: :wave:

9:54 PM AST Friday 2 February 2024

A prolonged period of snowfall is expected.

Locations: Central and eastern Nova Scotia.

Total snowfall amounts: 30 to 40 cm for central Nova Scotia with up to 80 cm or possibly higher for eastern mainland and Cape Breton.

Time span: Tonight until Monday.

Remarks: A low pressure system southwest of Nova Scotia will slowly track eastward tonight. This low will intensify on Saturday and stall southeast of the province resulting in a prolonged period of snow for the region. There will be a brief break in heavy snow overnight Saturday, before intensifying again on Sunday morning.

Additionally, increasing northeasterly winds could result in reduced visibilities in blowing snow over exposed areas tonight and into the weekend.

Snow will taper to flurries Sunday night into Monday.

Visibility may be suddenly reduced at times in heavy snow. Surfaces such as highways, roads, walkways and parking lots may become difficult to navigate due to accumulating snow. Heavy snowfall accumulation may cause tree branches to break.

Snowfall warnings are issued when significant snowfall is expected.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NSstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #NSStorm.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Feb 02, 2024 6:20 pm Alaska has been nailing it, it's interesting Anchorage beat the Feb 1st record set back in 1989 of -17f the new record is -18f we all know what happened here that Feb. :D

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=S8C35PwMVH8
I am cheering for that one lone light brown ensemble member that's going 1989 on us.
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

tyweather wrote: Fri Feb 02, 2024 11:18 pm I am cheering for that one lone light brown ensemble member that's going 1989 on us.
:lol: My mom used to tell me it only starts with one. :o
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

The EC forecast is deteriorating for next week. Two days ago it said a mix of sun and cloud on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. Now it says cloudy all three days with a chance of showers.

It can be hard to buy sunshine with this type of split flow pattern. There's no wind to scour out the gunk, and the sun is still too low to burn it off. Probably the worst aspect of our climate. Boring, dreary, listless weather pattern.
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Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Looks kind of chilly at times the next week to 10 days. Heavier showers could occasionally knock snow levels down below 300m. I think the second half of February turns pretty ridgy with more sun and frosty mornings with mild afternoons.
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