January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



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20240129143930-6d025552d41ee8da80161e8a8fab32a0d025366b.png
20240129143915-aecaa402e91e3566d7d873acf60f39b6875dd502.png
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:typing: :type3:
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#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: ↑Sun Jan 28, 2024 10:24 pm That sounds sarcastic 🙄 higher sun angles no chance for sticking snow new climate.
Models have also taken this away this morning. Mild split flow instead!
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Catnip
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 29, 2024 10:13 am Models have also taken this away this morning. Mild split flow instead!
Hopefully not Neetz.

A quick look at the webcams on the local mountains indicate they are almost running on empty... again.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Jan 29, 2024 10:35 am Hopefully not Neetz.

A quick look at the webcams on the local mountains indicate they are almost running on empty... again.
The ski hills are screwed regardless. The major concern will be river/creek flows this spring/summer as the drainage basins in valleys rely on higher alpine melt.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Warm, innit?
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2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Mon Jan 29, 2024 11:11 am Warm, innit?
Bono approved :dance:
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Canada Goose
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Historic warm night in Vancouver YVR!

➡️ With a Tmin of 11.6°C, this is the highest Tmin ever recorded in January (previous record: 11.0°C on January 7, 2002).

➡️ Highest Tmin ever recorded between late November and early April! Exceptional!
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The latest weeklies paints a relatively cool month of Feb overall for SW BC.
ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-t2m_c_anom_30day-8992000.png
The 12Z GEM is a GEM.
gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-6529600.png
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 29, 2024 6:37 am Would be quite the deviation from the El Nino climo for our region that results in a February torch more often than not.
Most likely outcome is a brief chilly period before the El Niño pattern dominates again. My guess is winter is over but next winter could be fun.
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Weather101
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Nito!!!!
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All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Weather101 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 29, 2024 12:31 pmNito!!!!
If it's this warm we might as well make a run at the monthly record. Only 1.3C more to go!
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 29, 2024 10:13 am Models have also taken this away this morning. Mild split flow instead!
Comspiracy post El Neeto's :wave:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Weather101 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 29, 2024 12:31 pmNito!!!!
Looks :sick: bro.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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tyweather
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Prince George is at a record for the day, previous record 8.4c.
:14pineexplode: :firez: :blowtor:
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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tyweather
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Dawson Creek says hold my beer Vancouver. I have you beat. :drunk:
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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