January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 23, 2024 8:21 am Wouldn't be surprised if we hit +15C to +18C next Monday/Tuesday. Impressive upper level warmth with a southerly wind ahead of the :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine:

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 23, 2024 8:21 am Wouldn't be surprised if we hit +15C to +18C next Monday/Tuesday. Impressive upper level warmth with a southerly wind ahead of the :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine:

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Bellingham is certain to score some good torching. They get downsloping in such situations.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

All ya all always talk about the extreme cold windchill, but you never talk about the extreme warm windchill.

Well, I put the Lytton numbers in the windchill calculator and on 2021-06-29 at 13:00:00 PDT, the temperature was 49.4 and wind 14 km/h.

Plug that into the formula, and the windchill works out to 56.4C. I guess at hot temperatures wind makes it feel hotter.
Last edited by Glacier on Wed Jan 24, 2024 2:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by snowjoker »

In 50 years, people will be wondering how YVR didn't set an all-time high in June 2021... that NW wind was streaming in those last few days
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

snowjoker wrote: Tue Jan 23, 2024 12:26 pm In 50 years, people will be wondering how YVR didn't set an all-time high in June 2021... that NW wind was streaming in those last few days
This has probably been said ad-nauseam on here at this point, but YVR is not representative at all of the region or even the city of Vancouver, especially summer temps. East Van peaked at 40c during that heatwave.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

snowjoker wrote: Tue Jan 23, 2024 12:26 pm In 50 years, people will be wondering how YVR didn't set an all-time high in June 2021... that NW wind was streaming in those last few days
2 things YVR will never obtain another record high and feetzz of snow sadly enough.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Trends? :think: :think: :think:

12Z Today:
12Ztodayecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-7091200.png

00Z Last Night:
00Zlastnightecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-7091200.png

12Z Yesterday:
12Zyesterdayecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-7091200.png
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Jan 23, 2024 1:12 pm This has probably been said ad-nauseam on here at this point, but YVR is not representative at all of the region or even the city of Vancouver, especially summer temps. East Van peaked at 40c during that heatwave.
Yes at least YXX is some what representative of the Abby area.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Jan 23, 2024 1:14 pm Trends? :think: :think: :think:

12Z Today:
12Ztodayecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-7091200.png


00Z Last Night:
00Zlastnightecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-7091200.png


12Z Yesterday:
12Zyesterdayecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-7091200.png
Need another 14 day's Jr. Man to know for sure. :roll:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by snowjoker »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Jan 23, 2024 1:12 pm This has probably been said ad-nauseam on here at this point, but YVR is not representative at all of the region or even the city of Vancouver, especially summer temps. East Van peaked at 40c during that heatwave.
Yes, I know pretty much the entire Pacific Northwest set all-time records that week, just pointing out how the wind direction screwed Richmond/Delta out of all-time highs. Easterlies would had put YVR up to 35+ for sure. Personally, the warmest I've experienced in Metro Van is still July 2009, but that's because I spent that entire heat wave up in Mission instead of in Richmond lol :lol:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Glacier wrote: Tue Jan 23, 2024 11:12 am All ya all always talk about the extreme cold windchill, but you never talk about the extreme warm windchill.

Well, I put the Lytton numbers in the windchill calculator and on 2021-06-29 at 16:00:00 PDT, the temperature was 46.5 and wind 13 km/h.

Plug that into the formula, and the windchill works out to 54C. I guess at hot temperatures wind makes it feel hotter.
What does A.I. say Glace. :D :sick:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

snowjoker wrote: Tue Jan 23, 2024 1:18 pm Yes, I know pretty much the entire Pacific Northwest set all-time records that week, just pointing out how the wind direction screwed Richmond/Delta out of all-time highs. Easterlies would had put YVR up to 35+ for sure. Personally, the warmest I've experienced in Metro Van is still July 2009, but that's because I spent that entire heat wave up in Mission instead of in Richmond lol :lol:
Downsloping from Mission hills there helped. I was in Maple Ridge that was just as 🔥 hot to me.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

snowjoker wrote: Tue Jan 23, 2024 1:18 pm Yes, I know pretty much the entire Pacific Northwest set all-time records that week, just pointing out how the wind direction screwed Richmond/Delta out of all-time highs. Easterlies would had put YVR up to 35+ for sure. Personally, the warmest I've experienced in Metro Van is still July 2009, but that's because I spent that entire heat wave up in Mission instead of in Richmond lol :lol:
That persistent summer NW wind off the strait on Sea Island is actually pretty chilly sometimes. Gotta wear a sweater for walks on the dyke. :lol:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by snowjoker »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Jan 23, 2024 1:30 pm That persistent summer NW wind off the strait on Sea Island is actually pretty chilly sometimes. Gotta wear a sweater for walks on the dyke. :lol:
Just once, I want to see the NW wind actually be used to its' fullest potential. Gimme a 970mb low parked on top of Everett for 3 days and pile up the strait-effect feetz of snow :thumbup:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

snowjoker wrote: Tue Jan 23, 2024 1:35 pm Just once, I want to see the NW wind actually be used to its' fullest potential. Gimme a 970mb low parked on top of Everett for 3 days and pile up the strait-effect feetz of snow :thumbup:
Would like to know for January 71, where was the low placement for that continously waves of snow? back then the weather office out in Richmond or Transport Canada as it was under would receive the satellite in 2 pieces half in the morning 2nd half in early afternoon. I remember watching Norm Grohman that Monday evening the day after the Arctic front plowed through on a Sunday evening and l can still remember seeing a nice spiral low just SW of Vancouver Island l was so excited l remember the satellite was black and white of course.
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