December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

With no arctic air on the horizon for at least the next few weeks, it's now safe to say Vancouver will go over six years without recording a single temperature below -10C.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Yes..sad it is. Greta was warning us...how dare we!!
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 4:35 pm Yes..sad it is. Greta was warning us...how dare we!!
The stat makes February 2019 really stick out. Coldest Feb since 1936 yet not a single temp below -10C.

Seems our climate is still capable of pulling off prolonged chilly periods but is severely lacking in producing those cold -4C/-13C type days we used to see more frequently in the 20th century.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Pretty much what my graph shows as well. This makes sense with climate change. We can get a pattern lock, but with the warming in the arctic the source of the cold air isn't as cold as it used to be as there's less ice. The jet stream is more buckled now.

https://insideclimatenews.org/news/3110 ... emperature
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 4:35 pm Yes..sad it is. Greta was warning us...how dare we!!
We are all gone die!!
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

tyweather wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 4:53 pm Pretty much what my graph shows as well. This makes sense with climate change. We can get a pattern lock, but with the warming in the arctic the source of the cold air isn't as cold as it used to be as there's less ice. The jet stream is more buckled now.

https://insideclimatenews.org/news/3110 ... emperature

You do realize the earth has warmed about a half a degree Doubt it has that much impact on the jet stream LOL
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Harooch »

tyweather wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 4:53 pm Pretty much what my graph shows as well. This makes sense with climate change. We can get a pattern lock, but with the warming in the arctic the source of the cold air isn't as cold as it used to be as there's less ice. The jet stream is more buckled now.

https://insideclimatenews.org/news/3110 ... emperature
Image

Even their stock jetstream image has a split flow right over us. WHEN WILL IT END!?!?!
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

John wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 4:55 pm You do realize the earth has warmed about a half a degree Doubt it has that much impact on the jet stream LOL
There is no denying climate change. But I do firmly deny the alarmist position, because the climate changing is not catastrophic. The earth and its inhabitants will adapt. Of course, climate change is not what we weather enthusiasts want, as it inevitably means less cold. But its nature and nature always changes and adapts. Its part of how our earth was created. Its normal yet sad for us who want lots of cold and snow.

By the way, for those interested in debating this further, please do not respond to this post to do so. I'm not interested in engaging a climate change debate here. I'm just pointing out that while I still firmly reject the alarmist position, I do not at all deny climate change in and of itself.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 5:43 pm There is no denying climate change. But I do firmly deny the alarmist position, because the climate changing is not catastrophic. The earth and its inhabitants will adapt. Of course, climate change is not what we weather enthusiasts want, as it inevitably means less cold. But its nature and nature always changes and adapts. Its part of how our earth was created. Its normal yet sad for us who want lots of cold and snow.

By the way, for those interested in debating this further, please do not respond to this post to do so. I'm not interested in engaging a climate change debate here. I'm just pointing out that while I still firmly reject the alarmist position, I do not at all deny climate change in and of itself.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

I guess we should follow Nito's advice and cancel our ski season :lol: :clap:
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-6152000.png
gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-6152000.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-6152000.png
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

I'm under a green blob on the radar! Funny how much difference a day makes, yesterday I was happy about it, today not so much so, cold rain is not my favourite...ever... :shock:
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 6:30 pm I guess we should follow Nito's advice and cancel our ski season :lol: :clap:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-6152000.png

gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-6152000.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-6152000.png
Hopefully Euro leads the way on this.

It’s showing a decent mountain snow pattern in the extended.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 6:42 pm Hopefully Euro leads the way on this.

It’s showing a decent mountain snow pattern in the extended.
Followed by an arctic blast!
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

John wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 4:55 pm You do realize the earth has warmed about a half a degree Doubt it has that much impact on the jet stream LOL
The arctic has warmed 2c and there is significantly less ice. Recent world temperatures are 1c warmer.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate ... the_Arctic

Too bad I cancelled my ski pass after this weekend's 20 epic runs in the beginner area. The next week looks to have 3500-4500 foot freezing levels. When do those Euro snows kick in?
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 6:53 pm Followed by an arctic blast!
Its not showing an arctic blast yet but let's hope it does. It does show a massive southern ridge. If the SW half would amplify over the GOA and the SE portion would remain in tact, we could be in business. :D :clap: 8-)
ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-6152000.png
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