Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Storm
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by Storm » Tue Jan 16, 2024 7:57 am
GEM and GFS.
Screenshot_20240116_075649_Samsung Internet.jpg
Screenshot_20240116_075234_Samsung Internet.jpg
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North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
wetcoast91
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by wetcoast91 » Tue Jan 16, 2024 7:58 am
Storm wrote: ↑ Tue Jan 16, 2024 7:46 am
Kuss on radio 20 - 30 cm if all snow.
Storm
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by Storm » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:01 am
GFS looks
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_12.png
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North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
Catnip
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Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
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by Catnip » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:01 am
12z GFS
56C4D444-DB7C-4D52-93F0-924886A9188C.png
77D0012B-9064-4FF8-90E2-06B826130F2D.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn:
https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
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Location: Coquitlam
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by Typeing3 » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:03 am
Canada Goose wrote: ↑ Tue Jan 16, 2024 7:17 am
Typeing, 20-30 cm for Western Banana Belt?
I'll say 15-20cm for now based on what i saw on last night's runs. Haven't had much chance to look at the models this AM. If they are then 20cm+ could be possible.
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary
Storm
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by Storm » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:05 am
Typeing3 wrote: ↑ Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:03 am
I'll say 15-20cm for now based on what i saw on last night's runs. Haven't had much chance to look at the models this AM. If they are then 20cm+ could be possible.
Most models are in the 20-25 range now. Hopefully we get higher than 10:1 ratio.
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
Catnip
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by Catnip » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:14 am
Storm wrote: ↑ Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:05 am
Most models are in the 20-25 range now. Hopefully we get higher than 10:1 ratio.
C’mon 30cm!
That would give this winter a very high rating, considering the gloomy outlook for this season.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn:
https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
AbbyJr
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Location: Abbotsford
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by AbbyJr » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:19 am
hrdps-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5525200.png
rgem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5525200.png
gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5525200.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5536000.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
AbbyJr
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by AbbyJr » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:20 am
Storm wrote: ↑ Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:05 am
Most models are in the 20-25 range now. Hopefully we get higher than 10:1 ratio.
I think Environment Canada might need to up their forecast totals from 10-20cm to 20-30cm based on latest model runs.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
arbetrader
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by arbetrader » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:26 am
It's my daughter's birthday tomorrow - having snow would make it an A+ considering we're in an El Nino year. The last cold snap/snow we had on her birthday (IIRC) was 2012. I'm really hoping we don't get much in the way of ZR (in between fronts), I have a feeling it won't be much if we do.
VanCitySouth
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by VanCitySouth » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:32 am
Models increasingly show extreme westernmost sections doing less well. I wonder if that's because of a lack of precip or poorer snow ratios, or maybe "terrain" bleed of the strait.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo
0 to 0
GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
wetcoast91
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by wetcoast91 » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:34 am
Storm wrote: ↑ Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:01 am
GFS looks
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_12.png
No onshore surface winds until early Saturday. Could see Eastern most sections of the Valley holding onto ice until then.
PortKells
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by PortKells » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:36 am
VanCitySouth wrote: ↑ Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:32 am
Models increasingly show extreme westernmost sections doing less well. I wonder if that's because of a lack of precip or poorer snow ratios, or maybe "terrain" bleed of the strait.
Yeah it’s probably just like UBC and anything directly against the water. Everyone else should be good, I hope. Gonna start getting busy in here soon!
Rubus_Leucodermis
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by Rubus_Leucodermis » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:38 am
Wow! Models seem to have trended a notch colder overnight. At this stage, 20–30 cm is a good bet, with the heavier amounts in eastern areas.
It's called clown range for a reason.
PortKells
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by PortKells » Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:44 am
AbbyJr wrote: ↑ Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:19 am
hrdps-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5525200.png
rgem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5525200.png
gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5525200.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5536000.png
Looks like the lower elevations actually do better than the mountains on that hrdps.