January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

hrdps-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5528800.png
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gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5546800.png
icon-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-5546800.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Storm
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Screenshot_20240116_064652_X.jpg
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North Burnaby/Burquitlam
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Catnip
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Storm wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 5:57 am Just open the first page by mistake, and look what I found. Clown range or not, the models are much better than most people believe.
[attachment=0]Screenshot_20240116_055510_Samsung Internet.jpg[/attachmeént]
I was using some reverse phychology in that post.

;) ;)
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Currently -5.0c after an overnight low of -6.3c
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
ClaytonWx
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by ClaytonWx »

Mattman wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 6:35 am For Abby, EC only going with 15-20cm total. Both Tyler’s “boom” scenario and the EURO are well north of 20cm for the Central Fraser Valley.
It is interesting that they still go with fairly narrow ballparks for snowfall accumulations over such wide geographic areas and varying terrain. As we now know, even 2-4cm can throw the entire city into chaos and gridlock. But then from something like 4cm to 20 cm, there is probably little difference in how people prepare and the resulting road conditions. I agree that beyond 20cm it would definitely change how people react to the warning. Maybe some stakeholders and public agencies are more concerned about precise predictions, but for the general public warnings they should probably just say something more broad. It also could just be an internal game to see how accurate they can be.
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Canada Goose
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Typeing, 20-30 cm for Western Banana Belt? :flakey:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 6:39 am The Thursday system looks like a classic overrunning event that we got used to recently.
ref1km_ptype.us_nw.png
T3 and Pitt Meadows seeing rain.

Checks out.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Catnip wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 7:11 am Currently -5.0c after an overnight low of -6.3c
It looks like clouds are moving over now. Perfect
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Storm wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 7:20 am It looks like clouds are moving over now. Perfect
Storm is back in business!! :clap:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

I'm excited! If we get anything near the amount of modeled snowfall, that automatically brings this winter letter grade up. Would you give this winter a B or an A if we get anything near that snow? Maybe a B+ or an A-?
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:32 pm I actually didn't catch what happened in PDX. Did it completely fall apart?
Some models were showing 10". Many were showing in the ball park of 4-8". Upper level airmass were warmer than expected so it was mostly compacted sleet that amounted to 1.5".
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PittGal »

Currently -4 with a -12 windchill in Harrison Mills with a Winter Storm Warning in effect. Should be fun!! Thank you to all for the explanations last night about my old stomping grounds Pitt Meadows. Hopefully my new location will bring better snow totals!! Looking forward to posts today explaining what we can expect the next few days. Always rely on you guys for this. Although I love weather, I'm not the greatest at figuring out what will happen. All I know is that it's usually the opposite of what EC forecasts :roll:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

T: -4.8
DP: -9
Hum: 74%

Low -6

Cloudy with breaks
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Tue Jan 16, 2024 7:26 am Storm is back in business!! :clap:
He’s been back for a bit riding the models hard for us.

Thanks for all your input this past week or so!

:clap: :clap:

Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Kuss on radio 20 - 30 cm if all snow.
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
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