Mattman wrote: ↑Tue Jan 16, 2024 6:35 am
For Abby, EC only going with 15-20cm total. Both Tyler’s “boom†scenario and the EURO are well north of 20cm for the Central Fraser Valley.
It is interesting that they still go with fairly narrow ballparks for snowfall accumulations over such wide geographic areas and varying terrain. As we now know, even 2-4cm can throw the entire city into chaos and gridlock. But then from something like 4cm to 20 cm, there is probably little difference in how people prepare and the resulting road conditions. I agree that beyond 20cm it would definitely change how people react to the warning. Maybe some stakeholders and public agencies are more concerned about precise predictions, but for the general public warnings they should probably just say something more broad. It also could just be an internal game to see how accurate they can be.
I'm excited! If we get anything near the amount of modeled snowfall, that automatically brings this winter letter grade up. Would you give this winter a B or an A if we get anything near that snow? Maybe a B+ or an A-?
VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:32 pm
I actually didn't catch what happened in PDX. Did it completely fall apart?
Some models were showing 10". Many were showing in the ball park of 4-8". Upper level airmass were warmer than expected so it was mostly compacted sleet that amounted to 1.5".
Currently -4 with a -12 windchill in Harrison Mills with a Winter Storm Warning in effect. Should be fun!! Thank you to all for the explanations last night about my old stomping grounds Pitt Meadows. Hopefully my new location will bring better snow totals!! Looking forward to posts today explaining what we can expect the next few days. Always rely on you guys for this. Although I love weather, I'm not the greatest at figuring out what will happen. All I know is that it's usually the opposite of what EC forecasts