January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Cloverdale
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Cloverdale »

WRF doesn’t get the party started till 4am Wednesday and looks light :think:
IMG_6536.jpeg
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

PortKells wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:35 pm I think that even within this little micro climate, up top this little hill I’m on is absolutely killer. It just dumps. I think Hawk is the same. That also applies to rain as well.
We need some kind of 3D/Elevation map to start with.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hound wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:35 pm We are pretty Pro, but for this situation, we are not. :lol:
(Why we are in a mini snow belt)
It’s funny, a couple of my coworkers think I’m some pro weather dude and I play it up but I’m not even in the same universe as some people on here let alone an actual meteorologist. I’m a joe blow with colourful weather maps.

The problem is people have lost faith in EC so if you get something right and they’re wrong you look like a genius. But I’d rather the actual experts look like the experts lmao.

Hopefully EC upgrades this thing ASAP. The fact is people are going to bed thinking “oh no snowfall warning it’s all good”. Well it’s not.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hound wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:39 pm We need some kind of 3D/Elevation map to start with.
;)
Screenshot 2024-01-15 at 20-42-24 Metro Vancouver Regional District topographic map elevation terrain.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hound wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:39 pm We need some kind of 3D/Elevation map to start with.
There is one out there I’ve forgotten what it’s called.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Cloverdale wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:39 pm WRF doesn’t get the party started till 4am Wednesday and looks light :think:

IMG_6536.jpeg
Look at better models ;)
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

This was the best I could do..

2024-01-15_210055.jpg
2024-01-15_210010.jpg
2024-01-15_205953.jpg
2024-01-15_205743.jpg
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bc_trucker »

I guess I'll ask my colleague to bring a bobcat tomorrow, just in case....driveway to the main road is 100 meters
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Perhaps Hawk theory has some truth to it.
Looking at terrain, it still doesn't make sense.
The cooler air might be riding the Fraser River Westbound? Lifting up over Surrey? Cutting off Pitt Meadows? Creating some type of sucking force to bring warm air east up the Fraser from Richmond into Pitt Meadows?

:crazy: :crazy: :crazy:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Tyler put out a video about the upcoming storm:

https://t.co/9Ji6KPXk10
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bc_trucker »

Hound wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:06 pm Perhaps Hawk theory has some truth to it.
Looking at terrain, it still doesn't make sense.
Here's my 2 cents...main winds are coming east to west in those events, secondary wind coming down Pitt Lake (relatively warmer waterbody I'm guessing), creating a Venturi effect and a localized inversion??? I dunno...just throwing something out there?
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Last edited by Bc_trucker on Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:17 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by ClaytonWx »

PortKells wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:41 pm It’s funny, a couple of my coworkers think I’m some pro weather dude and I play it up but I’m not even in the same universe as some people on here let alone an actual meteorologist. I’m a joe blow with colourful weather maps.

The problem is people have lost faith in EC so if you get something right and they’re wrong you look like a genius. But I’d rather the actual experts look like the experts lmao.

Hopefully EC upgrades this thing ASAP. The fact is people are going to bed thinking “oh no snowfall warning it’s all good”. Well it’s not.
99% of the people I talk to only use Apple Weather and are baffled when I laugh and tell them about EC
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Hmmm very conservative
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by WeatherPro »

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:41 pm It’s funny, a couple of my coworkers think I’m some pro weather dude and I play it up but I’m not even in the same universe as some people on here let alone an actual meteorologist. I’m a joe blow with colourful weather maps.

The problem is people have lost faith in EC so if you get something right and they’re wrong you look like a genius. But I’d rather the actual experts look like the experts lmao.

Hopefully EC upgrades this thing ASAP. The fact is people are going to bed thinking “oh no snowfall warning it’s all good”. Well it’s not.
People don't even take the snowfall warnings seriously anyways. This generation doesn't go on EC they check the phone weather app and still go out on the roads. lol, they don't care.
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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