January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Nordelian
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Nordelian »

I'm favoring the "bust" graphic from TWN (which is still pretty decent). These set ups are usually pretty good at scouring out the cold upper air. For those of us in western sections I'd be happy with 5-10 before the transition to rain. Certainly riding the line of something great in eastern portions.
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moonshadow0825
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 4:31 pm Not sure what this model is... but here you go.

RRFS-A.png
Russian weenie model ??? :eh:

can't say I've ever seen that rather phallic looking track for snow for White Rock, South-North Delta into South Delta before :wtf: :think:
:wsnow: :13snow:

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Abby_wx
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

If 20 cm at my place is a bust, I'll take it. ;)

High of -0.7C here. Looks like YXX may have gotten above freezing today... 0.0C at 2 pm.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-5536000.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5536000.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 5:14 pm ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-5536000.png

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5536000.png
And it's not all over at 00Z, either, a bit more by 03Z.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5546800.png
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Weather101
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Yikes
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Weather101
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 4:40 pm Wasn't 101 supposed to be buried in snow?
Screenshot_20240115_163947_X.jpg
Yeah what the hell nito :lol:

I did see some crazy snowfall rates with lightning so can't complain
Last edited by Weather101 on Mon Jan 15, 2024 5:37 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Nordelian wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 4:50 pm I'm favoring the "bust" graphic from TWN (which is still pretty decent). These set ups are usually pretty good at scouring out the cold upper air. For those of us in western sections I'd be happy with 5-10 before the transition to rain. Certainly riding the line of something great in eastern portions.
I agree
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

AF are desperate if they are looking at HRRR for Low track and placement. :lol:
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

NWS posted WSW for Whatcom
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Radar
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

IMG_7571.jpeg
Me too

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 5:02 pm If 20 cm at my place is a bust, I'll take it. ;)

High of -0.7C here. Looks like YXX may have gotten above freezing today... 0.0C at 2 pm.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 5:45 pm AF are desperate if they are looking at HRRR for Low track and placement. :lol:
Seattle is in a winter where places get hit immediately to their south and then to their north. Sucks to suck.
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Within 48hrs. :clap: :silent: :wave:

nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5536000.png
nam-218-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5536000.png
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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PortKells
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Wait did I just read that Saturday busted in Portland? I totally tuned that one out. Bahaha Vancouver wins the Northwest for the 5th straight event. Dec 2021, Nov 2022, Dec 2022, Feb 2023 (I'll give Portland a tie on that one with the nice snowstorm there) and now Jan 2024.

Febs 2021 and 2019 are but a distant memory.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 6:33 pm Within 48hrs. :clap: :silent: :wave:


nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5536000.png

nam-218-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-5536000.png
To the end of the event...it starts in just over 24 hours :thumbup: :twisted:
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