January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
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- Weather Nut
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
temp is +.06 here. already above forecast high. We'll see how this plays out
- Weather101
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
I mean, to be fair, Toronto's average high for this time of year is -2cwetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 6:33 am Media: Bitterly cold to hang around Southern Ontario
Reality: Temps are only a few degrees below normal
It's currently -10c with the day ending.
That's a whole 8c below normal.
All about them Cowboys !!!
- Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
And for what it’s worth, the Cliff Mass model.
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It's called clown range for a reason.
- VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
Cliff Mass model might as well be the NFS when it comes to snow, it's always so stingy LOLRubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 11:23 am And for what it’s worth, the Cliff Mass model.
wa_snow24.72.0000.png
2024-25 season stats:
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
- VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
Would be very surprised if YVR managed to stay below 0 this afternoon. However, Grouse Mountain is reporting -5.5C right now, Cypress is -5, and Seymour is -3, so it seems like the upper levels are still quite cool.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
I have nothing good to say about Cliff Mass.VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 11:24 am Cliff Mass model might as well be the NFS when it comes to snow, it's always so stingy LOL
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
That's very fair
2024-25 season stats:
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
- Catnip
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
"Snowpack" update:
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
first time above freezing since Thursday and my temp still skyrocketing. +4C over this time yesterday
- Monty
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
It will depend on the thickness of that warm layer and dew points in that layer. It can snow when 925s are above freezing but you end up with low ratio stuffRubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 8:24 am Once you discount the “snow†the Euro shows falling with 925 mbar temps above freezing, there isn’t much left at the surface. Maybe a slushy cm or two.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
Yeah. Mark Madriga said this morning substantial snow to be expected, especially the North of the river.
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North Burnaby/Burquitlam
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Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
- VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
NAM caved
2024-25 season stats:
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
- Monty
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions
I saw a quote from him posted down south that said “the upper levels were too warm for freezing rainâ€. That doesn’t even make sense.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft