January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Weather101
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Storm wrote: Fri Jan 12, 2024 7:45 am GFS wet from this to this.
gfs_T850_nwus_22.pnggfs_T850_nwus_1.png
I want to believe it but the GFS sucks 😕
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Weather101 wrote: Fri Jan 12, 2024 8:01 am I want to believe it but the GFS sucks 😕
He's talking about how the GFS caved to the Euro for today
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Jan 12, 2024 8:07 am He's talking about how the GFS caved to the Euro for today
Ahhh my bad running on no sleep lol
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Wind chill of -24 now at YVR. Need Typer to tell us the last time that happened. I will look very silly if it turns out to be Dec 2021 or 2022.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Komo write up

We are waking up with temps in the teens in some parts of our area. That means frosty roads that could be slick. There is also some snow still falling in the south sound. Areas around Olympia and along Highway 101. The drive this morning in Pierce, Thurston and Lewis Counties will be extra slick. Areas where snow fell yesterday in Snohomish and Jefferson Counties still have snow on the ground as we start the day. Those areas could also have some extra treacherous roads as we start the day. The foothills in King County are another area that is starting the day with some snow on the ground, but not a lot.

Now that the cold air we were expecting has taken over, any moisture we get today could fall as some light snow, but there is simply not much to work with. That means you can plan on partly sunny skies today with temps only climbing to the mid-20s.

A dry cold night is ahead with temps in the teens once again. That means another hard freeze. It’s a good idea to check on anyone in your neighborhood who might not be able to keep their house warm or have health issues made worse by the cold. Animals also need to a warm place to escape the frigid temperatures.

Saturday will bring partly to mostly sunny skies with highs in the mid-20s.

Sunday is looking sun-filled, but cold. Highs will climb a bit to the upper 20s and lower 30s.

Dry chilly weather is expected to continue on Monday with highs in the mid-30s.

Our next chance of rain will come on Tuesday with highs hitting the upper 30s and lower 40s. There could be a few snowflakes mixed in with the showers during the transition.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Weather101 wrote: Fri Jan 12, 2024 8:01 am I want to believe it but the GFS sucks 😕
Trying to contain myself from reading too much into the GFS but this would be an epic inversion. Think heavy fog and frost with tropical warmth aloft :dancepine: :dance:

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

IMG_0911_scaled.jpg
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Jan 12, 2024 8:12 am Wind chill of -24 now at YVR. Need Typer to tell us the last time that happened. I will look very silly if it turns out to be Dec 2021 or 2022.
2021 yvr dropped to -23 so not-24 windchill values
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Jan 12, 2024 8:12 am Wind chill of -24 now at YVR. Need Typer to tell us the last time that happened. I will look very silly if it turns out to be Dec 2021 or 2022.
:think:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Jan 12, 2024 8:18 am IMG_0911_scaled.jpg
Beautiful
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 12, 2024 8:18 am Trying to contain myself from reading too much into the GFS but this would be an epic inversion. Think heavy fog and frost with tropical warmth aloft :dancepine: :dance:

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by arbetrader »

MikeD86 wrote: Fri Jan 12, 2024 7:11 am -15.5 C when I left for work this morning. I'm curious when the last time Chilliwack's temp was this low? Not in my lifetime that I can recall.
December 27th and 28th, 2021 was colder than that. Even in Abbotsford. Prior to that, you'd likely have to go back to 1993.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weatherhead2 »

Michael1 wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 10:22 pm We shall see. EC did issue a snow warning for the region of Duncan to Nanaimo. Maybe,we can catch a bit of that. Having said that, In the 33 years I've lived in the Nanoose/Parksville area, it is not unusual for the snow to end at Lantzville, just north of Woodgrove mall. The night is young and full of surprises, so...
The snow that happened in dec in nan was interesting. We were up there for my son’s hockey game. Just driving from south nan (all rain) to north nan all snow!
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

GEM
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Low of -16.6C in Mission.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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