January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

[Storm]

Does fake cold with snowcover count?

If you ask my wife, yes. I fake cold or not.

[PortKells]

No chance we break the cold January curse unless we get a prolonged (2 weeks+) bout of modified arctic air or a shorter intense cold snap.

I thought -10 at Yvr was the big one?

[AbbyJr]

No chance we break the cold January curse unless we get a prolonged (2 weeks+) bout of modified arctic air or a shorter intense cold snap.

A January 1996 redux would probably break the curse based on your criteria.

[Bonovox]

Like Storm man was saying. This is Monday morning. Temps marginally support snow down to sea level, but if you have any elevation at all, this is snow.

[SouthSardiswx]

Like Storm man was saying. This is Monday morning. Temps marginally support snow down to sea level, but if you have any elevation at all, this is snow.

It's weird Bones even in the elevated areas of Abby It still remains rain.

[SouthSardiswx]

A January 1996 redux would probably break the curse based on your criteria.

Our climate is cursed Jr. Man nothing will fix it.

[Storm]

Icon is coming in colder. Sub 0 surface temps. Sunday morning

icon_T2m_nwus_39.png

[Typeing3]

I thought -10 at Yvr was the big one?

Nope, I'm referring to a cold January from a monthly average perspective.

YVR has not seen one <0c since 1993... even if we raise it to <1c, still have to go back to 1993.

[Typeing3]

A January 1996 redux would probably break the curse based on your criteria.

Unfortunately not, monthly average was 2.9c at YVR.

[Storm]

It's too bad that this Twitter feature is not here anymore.


https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... BvpMw&s=19

[PortKells]

Nope, I'm referring to a cold January from a monthly average perspective.

YVR has not seen one <0c since 1993... even if we raise it to <1c, still have to go back to 1993.

Ah. From my perspective that's not a slump or a curse, its just a new climate that doesn't behave that way anymore. Recently you'd be hard to find many months that ended up below average, let alone below 0C. I'm sure it could still happen but I'm not holding out hope for it.

[PortKells]

Like Storm man was saying. This is Monday morning. Temps marginally support snow down to sea level, but if you have any elevation at all, this is snow.

Probably not good enough for a snow day on the first day back in school but a man can dream.

[Catnip]

It's too bad that this Twitter feature is not here anymore.


https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... BvpMw&s=19

scared.jpg

[Typeing3]

Ah. From my perspective that's not a slump or a curse, its just a new climate that doesn't behave that way anymore. Recently you'd be hard to find many months that ended up below average, let alone below 0C. I'm sure it could still happen but I'm not holding out hope for it.

It's most definitely the result of a climate shift, but the unfortunate point still stands -- over 30 years since our last cold January.

I'll make a post later of the coldest months recorded at YVR since 1993.

[AbbyJr]

An arctic blast is possible this month but by no means a guarantee based on the ensembles.

ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-4196800.png

gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_tmp-4196800.png

cmc-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_tmp-4196800.png