January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

[Catnip]

Our first chance of seeing snow down to sea level is Sunday morning onward. Euro support snow at sea level..

Nice to have you back Stormer!

[Storm]

Nice to have you back Stormer!

Sunday night into Monday snow moving in from the North. 850 mb -6, 925 -3. This is within hours 150 we have to start paying more attention now.

[wetcoast91]

Sunday night into Monday snow moving in from the North. 850 mb -6, 925 -3. This is within hours 150 we have to start paying more attention now.

Even better is Portland sees 50F rain.

Looks like quite the snowfall up here.

[Storm]

Even better is Portland sees 50F rain.

Looks like quite the snowfall up here.

I think they need it.

[PortKells]

Even better is Portland sees 50F rain.

Looks like quite the snowfall up here.

Wait, you're buying stock in this one?

[Storm]

Wait, you're buying stock in this one?

Even my phone app is seeing this. I don't know what is so difficult for this to happen. It snow here before, it's not that rare.

EC is also entertaining this.

[PortKells]

Even my phone app is seeing this. I don't know what is so difficult for this to happen. It snow here before, it's not that rare.

EC is also entertaining this.

Its a borderline set up I'm just surprised he's in at this point.

[Catnip]

Theme seems to be fairly low snow levels as of Sunday.

Looks to me like one of those setups where precip intensity, time of day, elevation and luck will all play a roll in who sees some wet flakes.

Subject to change of course as we are almost a week out.

[wetcoast91]

Wait, you're buying stock in this one?

You know the drill.
Elevation dependent. T3's belt. North Vancouver somehow seeing +4C and rain. Rubus slush. Bono causing a near mid-air collision due to being distracted by the radar. Catnips winter wonderland. Pomo's 15cm of snow. Abbotsford seeing cold 1C rain.

[SouthSardiswx]

You know the drill.
Elevation dependent. T3's belt. North Vancouver somehow seeing +4C and rain. Rubus slush. Bono causing a near mid-air collision due to being distracted by the radar. Catnips winter wonderland. Pomo's 15cm of snow. Abbotsford seeing cold 1C rain.

Don't forget Slyty skewed measurements from the pond in south Sardis Neeto's.

[PortKells]

You know the drill.
Elevation dependent. T3's belt. North Vancouver somehow seeing +4C and rain. Rubus slush. Bono causing a near mid-air collision due to being distracted by the radar. Catnips winter wonderland. Pomo's 15cm of snow. Abbotsford seeing cold 1C rain.

Port Kells somehow scoring the most snow every time

[Hawk]

Port Kells somehow scoring the most snow every time

Me3 on HawksHill

[Typeing3]

I think a brush of modified arctic air could still be possible but a full on blast seems highly unlikely in these background conditions and even going by what the models have been saying. Having some water in the resevoirs next summer might be the best that comes out of this and that is no small thing.

Having said all that, breaking the January curse would be pretty fun so we might as well keep the hopes up for now. I feel like I'm in Nito's corner on this one and that just feels...dirty.

No chance we break the cold January curse unless we get a prolonged (2 weeks+) bout of modified arctic air or a shorter intense cold snap.

[wetcoast91]

No chance we break the cold January curse unless we get a prolonged (2 weeks+) bout of modified arctic air or a shorter intense cold snap.

Does fake cold with snowcover count?

[Typeing3]

Does fake cold with snowcover count?

Given my criteria is solely from a monthly average perspective, any way we get there counts. Incidentally, a long period of fake cold with deep snowcover is exactly how our last cold January in 1993 played out. We did see an arctic blast early on in the month though.