December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[AbbyJr]

Ya… sure…

CB452ECF-F4AA-429F-81D7-C2E3D0E23B01.png

At least the clowns are entertaining us in an otherwise boring winter.

[PortKells]

Still a ways to go. Still too early for excitement.

Never too late for a rug pull right?

I do like the idea that it'll be chilly with precip, and that's about all I expect. It's far too early to be talking about rug pulls and if there's even a rug to pull! Sorry to be a debbie downer its not my usual schtick with winter stuff but this winter I'm just not feeling anything coming.

[Catnip]

I do like the idea that it'll be chilly with precip, and that's about all I expect. It's far too early to be talking about rug pulls and if there's even a rug to pull! Sorry to be a debbie downer its not my usual schtick with winter stuff but this winter I'm just not feeling anything coming.

Ya, that comment was more directed towards Rub's comment about the other forum. They like to go all in on some of these runs and then end up disappointed.

A change from this mild weather will be nice for sure.

[Bonovox]

Jim is practically having an orgasm about it over on the AF. Which is going to make the reaction there when the inevitable pullback happens all the more amusing.

Personally, I don’t particularly care how one forum reacts to clown range compared to another. I get no joy over rug pulls nor annoyed by the all in attitude. To each their own.

[Bonovox]

00z Euro is way too progressive.

[Bonovox]

00z EPS is much improved though.

[Bonovox]

Nice little snow storm at the end of the 00z GEM.

[Bonovox]

00z ICON wants to get in on the action too.

[Catnip]

00z ICON wants to get in on the action too.

I'll throw the Korean into the mix.

It doesn't have the ridge in the East, but West looks similar.

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[Bonovox]

Not going to lie, I am moderately excited.

[Catnip]

Cdn Ensemble for Hr 180

geps_z500_anom_noram_180.png

[Catnip]

The extended GEFS was hinting at the possible upcoming pattern for a while now. Good outcome for it if it pans out as currently modelled.

Looking forward, this is what it is showing for the end of Jan and the #beginningofFEB

gefs_z500_anom_noram_744.png

gefs_z500_anom_noram_840.png

[Catnip]

Not going to lie, I am moderately excited.

I think a period of some below normal temps is looking more likely. How cool/cold... and will there be snow...

I'll take what we can get during an El Torcho January!

[SouthSardiswx]

I think a period of some below normal temps is looking more likely. How cool/cold... and will there be snow...

I'll take what we can get during an El Torcho January!

Noooo...Catnippers it's A.I.

[Mattman]

Two operational GFS outputs in a row advertising cold. Definitely not reason to get “touchdown” excited like our friends down south. But reason to pay attention. If I remember correctly it was the GFS op first to latch onto the heat dome, Jan ‘20, and Dec ‘21. It’s clown range, but an anomaly that verifies begins in clown range. I think what will verify will not be a cold as advertised. I doubt a reload will occur. The 06z op was dry. Perhaps a howling outflow with dust followed by an inversion is how this will pan out.