December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Weather101
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Dec 29, 2023 8:59 pm And right on schedule…

Screenshot 2023-12-29 at 20.58.12.png
Such a joke.... can't feel bad for someone who does this to themselves yearly.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



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20231230164832-e528f57e158bfc7e0498623ffababef07b7571df.png
20231230164813-5b4ba8d151c8f1a9a349680cb8c922439c9a3778.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

:14clown: :flakey:
ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-3894400.png
gfs-ensemble-all-CYVR-indiv_snow-3916000.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

:14clown: :flakey:
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-4758400.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-4758400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12z GEM is definitely trying.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

That period for cold/snow would be best like Jan/2012 and Jan/2020 can produce some real feel winter anything beyond that we are battling higher sun angles. :( :x It's currently 9c @ your home for New Years the pond in south Sardis.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Dec 30, 2023 10:22 am 12z GEM is definitely trying.
Just not enough ridging in Alaska.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12z GFS is showing quite the snow storm for the area next Friday.

However, we’ve seen this story before, the snow isn’t supported by the 925mb or 850mb temps.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

PortKells wrote: Sat Dec 30, 2023 12:31 pm Just not enough ridging in Alaska.
At face value, that would do the job in January. I think there is a ridge bridge trying to form at the end, but it really depends on how that energy in the Bering Strait/Sea is handled.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Sat Dec 30, 2023 7:48 am Or..considering the climate trends of the last few decades..why not have a local ski operation with base of ~1500m and peaks of 2200m like Whistler..go above the bommy and mild winter weather :think:
Finally we get to the root of the problem. And in 20 years when those resorts are high and dry we can simply build taller mountains and ski at 5000m for 20 years and so on.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Dec 30, 2023 12:34 pm 12z GFS is showing quite the snow storm for the area next Friday.

However, we’ve seen this story before, the snow isn’t supported by the 925mb or 850mb temps.
Yeah with those maps you can’t have any green over the LM or it might as well be all green sadly.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Dec 30, 2023 12:34 pm 12z GFS is showing quite the snow storm for the area next Friday.

However, we’ve seen this story before, the snow isn’t supported by the 925mb or 850mb temps.
At least the mountains will get a good dump? :dunno:
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Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sat Dec 30, 2023 1:32 pm At least the mountains will get a good dump? :dunno:
Yeah, 500m snow levels means some good quality snow. I suspect they need about a 40cm dump for a good base followed by another 100cm to open up all the runs. They will probably be making snow 24/7 once the temp drops.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Sat Dec 30, 2023 12:58 pm Finally we get to the root of the problem. And in 20 years when those resorts are high and dry we can simply build taller mountains and ski at 5000m for 20 years and so on.
Then we can move them to 7000m !!
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Weather101 wrote: Sat Dec 30, 2023 2:25 pm Then we can move them to 7000m !!
Perhaps the Shizmilkameenzz bro? :D
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