December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5600
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10319 times
Been thanked: 10088 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The 00Z GFS has a classic arctic front in the clown range. Drops Abbotsford to a low of -17C. Yeah right... :clap: :lol: :14clown:

Be right back... just heading to the American forums to get confirmation as to whether or not this could actually verify. :shh: :wave:

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-5147200.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5272
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4348 times
Been thanked: 10603 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 9:28 pm The 00Z GFS has a classic arctic front in the clown range. Drops Abbotsford to a low of -17C. Yeah right... :clap: :lol: :14clown:

Be right back... just heading to the American forums to get confirmation as to whether or not this could actually verify. :shh: :wave:


gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-5147200.png
Jim will say yes!
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12660
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22036 times
Been thanked: 24409 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Tonight's 00z GFS is the best run we'll see all winter. :lol:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Nordelian
Cloud Watcher
Cloud Watcher
Posts: 60
Joined: Sat Aug 13, 2022 7:30 am
Location: Vancouver Fairview
Elevation: 50 M.
Has thanked: 1 time
Been thanked: 228 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Nordelian »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 9:52 pm Tonight's 00z GFS is the best run we'll see all winter. :lol:
Yeah the operational run is way colder than all the ensemble members. Definitely a one off.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6422
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14705 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Solid 5 day mean on the GEFS as well.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6422
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14705 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 11:45 pm Solid 5 day mean on the GEFS as well.
And the 00z GEPS.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6422
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14705 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

It has been a day of massive improvement in runs today. That may be all it ends up being, but at this point, it’s all we have. Enjoy the ride.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6422
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14705 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 9:40 pm Jim will say yes!
I often root for Jim.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 2418
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 3759 times
Been thanked: 5908 times
Contact:

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Some colder temps in Brrranuary
gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-3829600.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12660
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22036 times
Been thanked: 24409 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png



------------------------------------------------
20231229142509-6b521c62b77d31f371bff8ad9e82516d2c5d8f00.png
20231229142454-e697d60dbf833aa20aaaeac211584c955e719544.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Weather101
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5092
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:27 am
Location: Richmond
Elevation: 3 Ft
Has thanked: 4754 times
Been thanked: 7100 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 11:49 pm I often root for Jim.
I used to root for him, but I can't root for someone so diluted. It's not even just that it's the fact that he gets mad at other people for not agreeing with him even tho the models show absolutely nothing.. He's like, " You guys just don't see it. No, Jim, it's because you're wishcasting. He does it to himself every single year it's just the same old song and dance that's annoying.
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12683 times
Been thanked: 6463 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 4:22 pm A cool shot of Princeton/Similkameeeeeeeeeez I came across on Facebook.

Looking pretty sparse in the :flakey: department.

Hawk, what's going on up there?

Screenshot 2023-12-28 at 16-20-32 Facebook.png
Nice aerial :shock:

Not much going on in the Similks this winter. Ugh. Bare ground pretty much everywhere in the valleys due to sporadic light snowfalls of 1-2" every week or so..that wont do anything. Even the mountains are struggling. The lakes are still mostly open :roll:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6606
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 557 times
Been thanked: 11443 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

This run gets very close. Notches?
F685ABB0-476C-46D0-A864-73F9408877D6.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6422
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14705 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Day 9. :silent:
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9710
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11899 times
Been thanked: 21473 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:think:
bam.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Post Reply