December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Sorry Typer, don't mean to take your job.. ;)

But after the 21st, the 12Z GFS ensembles don't look too bad.. all things considered. Would be great to see more consensus on that 24th "troff". More importantly, it shows mountain snows.

Anyways it is all :14clown: range for now.

#thinkpositive
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Ski resorts would certainly welcome this right before Christmas:
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Catnip
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Potentially stormy Christmas if this verified.

:shock:

Windstorm anyone?
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 1:52 pm Sorry Typer, don't mean to take your job.. ;)

But after the 21st, the 12Z GFS ensembles don't look too bad.. all things considered. Would be great to see more consensus on that 24th "troff". More importantly, it shows mountain snows.

Anyways it is all :14clown: range for now.

#thinkpositive

ens_image.png
Ensemble mean stays at or above average for the entire time period. :dancepine:
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 3:05 pm Potentially stormy Christmas if this verified.

:shock:

Windstorm anyone?

2.png
Yes please. Haven't had a solid windstorm since December 2018.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Current GFS Ensembles aren't as :blowtor: for the West as the EPS for Days 8+

:14clown:
:shrug:
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2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 5:01 pm Current GFS Ensembles aren't as :blowtor: for the West as the EPS for Days 8+

:14clown:
:shrug:

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Zonal flow... would be good for the mountains at least.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 5:34 pm Zonal flow... would be good for the mountains at least.
Unfortunately, when the GFS and the Euro disagree about something, it is usually because the GFS is wrong and the Euro is right.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HughCorne »

I’m just hoping for mountain snow. Was up at Cypress today and while they’re doing the best they can with what they have, it’s still pretty rough.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

00z GFS just a bit different for next Tuesday.

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2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Chilly Troff/NW flow next week... GFS even shows the possibility of some snow showers for Thursday.

:think:

:14clown:
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 8:22 pm 00z GFS just a bit different for next Tuesday.


00z.png
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Siding with the Euro until it caves. Euro seems to be handling these cut off lows better.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 8:22 pm 00z GFS just a bit different for next Tuesday.


00z.png
18z.png
Baby steps. I like these trends.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Catnip
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 9:20 pm Siding with the Euro until it caves. Euro seems to be handling these cut off lows better.
Ya… gfs was a bit of an outlier vs its 00z ensembles also.

Still things to work out!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

WOW! did the lightning leave there thunder at the border. :clap: :thumbup: This team has me believing more than any snow chances, It's currently 3c @ the pond in south Sardis.
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