November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Flashback to the December 20th 2018 windstorm. Gusts peaked at 113 km/h in Abbotsford. Haven't seen an event on that scale since. :wave:

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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Nov 17, 2023 5:34 pm Flashback to the December 20th 2018 windstorm. Gusts peaked at 113 km/h in Abbotsford. Haven't seen an event on that scale since. :wave:


xx_reanalyse-en-196-0_modera5_201812201800_5618_149.png
Yes l recall this windstorm it took out part of skipper Grumps pier in Wrinkle Rock. :o we reached a high 10c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Sat Nov 18, 2023 7:55 am, edited 2 times in total.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hound wrote: Fri Nov 17, 2023 2:15 pm True... local mountains have hardly any snow yet:


image.jpg

image-11220-1700258185890.jpg

roundhouse2.jpg

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That looks absolutely horrible. 😳
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hound wrote: Fri Nov 17, 2023 2:15 pm True... local mountains have hardly any snow yet:


image.jpg

image-11220-1700258185890.jpg

roundhouse2.jpg

2023-11-17_135759.jpg
Cant make snow either with the ridiculously high freezing levels coming.

Buying a ski pass during a super El Nino winter is generally not a good idea.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Nov 17, 2023 4:48 pm I watched his forecast video. He was clearly using evidence based reasoning. Looking at the current conditions in the tropical pacific compared with 1972/73, there are a lot of similarities. While there is no guarantee the same outcome will verify, Pete Parsons is a meteorologist and is not interested in simply wish casting. :thumbup:
I'm not taking away from his credentials whatsoever! But simply posting every year/winter that we will see some 1950 winter or bringing up years like the 60/70s won't make it happen. The climate has changed. That doesn't mean we won't see snow because we will, but it's still wishcasting to believe that will happen yearly when, in reality, it probably won't :thumbup:
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Nov 17, 2023 5:34 pm Flashback to the December 20th 2018 windstorm. Gusts peaked at 113 km/h in Abbotsford. Haven't seen an event on that scale since. :wave:


xx_reanalyse-en-196-0_modera5_201812201800_5618_149.png
That was wild. Would love to see that happen again.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

Weather101 wrote: Fri Nov 17, 2023 10:22 pm That was wild. Would love to see that happen again.
It was insanely windy!
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John wrote: Sat Nov 18, 2023 7:20 am It was insanely windy!
John! :wave: yes it was even here in the central valley it was our first winter out here l believe the windstorm was on Dec 20th.
No frost here in the central valley this morning it's currently plus 5c the low this morning was 2c.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Low of +0.8 with light frost here.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

John wrote: Sat Nov 18, 2023 7:20 am It was insanely windy!
Especially for Abbotsford! We need a good windstorm this year! We are due for one.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Nov 17, 2023 10:13 pm Cant make snow either with the ridiculously high freezing levels coming.

Buying a ski pass during a super El Nino winter is generally not a good idea.
December 2015 was actually a very good month, snow-wise for the mountains. Lots of cold rain for the lowlands with minor slush events.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image - 2023-11-18.png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image - 2023-11-18T.png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image - 2023-11-18T1.png



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20231118214511-1366a015f3f0e1bcfdd31c74676373156db92740.png
20231118214500-37a95beb6f6fe6943a304722e5de9a6469a96a61.png
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

:wave:
SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Nov 18, 2023 7:52 am John! :wave: yes it was even here in the central valley it was our first winter out here l believe the windstorm was on Dec 20th.
No frost here in the central valley this morning it's currently plus 5c the low this morning was 2c.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

:wave:
Weather101 wrote: Sat Nov 18, 2023 8:30 am Especially for Abbotsford! We need a good windstorm this year! We are due for one.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

Such beautiful weather we are having!
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