November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Hound wrote: ↑Thu Nov 09, 2023 9:39 am Damnit, I got rain!
Not to worry Hound, Bono or Nito will welcome you with open arms! :lol:

j/k the rest of us will too :thumbup:
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:alert: Maybe the clown range GFS is on to something? :alert:

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-0827200.png
ecmwf-ensemble-c00-namer-z500_anom-0827200.png
gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-0827200.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The 12Z Soundings for YXX bottoms out around -10C for between Nov 21-26ish.
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AbbyJr
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:alert: Strong winds are likely overnight Friday into Saturday. :alert:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-gust_kmh-9700400.png
rgem-all-vancouverski-gust_kmh-9707600.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-gust_kmh-9693200.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Hawk
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Thu Nov 09, 2023 1:26 pm The 12Z Soundings for YXX bottoms out around -10C for between Nov 21-26ish.
Its happening..get ready and get winter tires on now before the rush!! :roll:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

:clown: :flakey: update. It’s not just the Goofus.
ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-9531200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Mid Month troffing :clap: :clap: and :thumbup: :thumbup:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert: :alert: Coq is getting it soon :flakey: :flakey:

https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/bc-81_metric_e.html
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Thu Nov 09, 2023 10:06 am AF is getting all excited because the clown range GFS control run shows an arctic blast.
Welp after all Rubes tis the season just about. My Sirius XM has added like a million Christmas channels so has iheart and several other apps. :crazy: the high @ the pond in south Sardis today was 10c.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Ovonucks wrote: ↑Thu Nov 09, 2023 12:05 pm 😂😂😂😂 Thank you sir
:lol:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Thu Nov 09, 2023 12:23 pm :alert: Maybe the clown range GFS is on to something? :alert:


ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-0827200.png

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-namer-z500_anom-0827200.png

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-0827200.png
:lol: El Nino man just said yesterday no ski pass or winter tires needed. :lol:
I recall one winter he made the same claim only to have us get blasted l remember it was brought up over and over that winter.
El Neets is awesome he can handle the criticism right El Nino?
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Thu Nov 09, 2023 6:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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AbbyJr
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: ↑Thu Nov 09, 2023 4:13 pm :lol: El Nino man just said yesterday no ski ass or winter tires needed. :lol:
I recall one winter he made the same claim only to have us get blasted l remember it was brought up over and over that winter.
El Neets is awesome he can handle the criticism right El Nino?
The fact is nobody knows what will happen this winter. But my guess is that our 1968/69 redux will come during a winter that is forecasted to be mild and dry. :clap: :lol:
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Thu Nov 09, 2023 5:01 pm The fact is nobody knows what will happen this winter. But my guess is that our 1968/69 redux will come during a winter that is forecasted to be mild and dry. :clap: :lol:
Ooopppssss l left the p out in pass :oops: sorry.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Are the models still showing that possible blast or have they flipped like another Oiler loss.
3.3mm in the rain bucket 🪣 since midnight @ the pond in south Sardis and currently 9c with light rain.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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stuffradio
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

SouthSardiswx wrote: ↑Thu Nov 09, 2023 8:57 pm Are the models still showing that possible blast or have they flipped like another Oiler loss.
3.3mm in the rain bucket 🪣 since midnight @ the pond in south Sardis and currently 9c with light rain.
Soundings bottom out at maybe -6 or -7 on the 00Z GFS and it shows 6-10" of snow.
gfs_asnow_nwus_65.png
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