November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[Catnip]

High of 15.8c for today imby.

[Abby_wx]

33.5 mm storm total near the top of the hill in Mission.

[Catnip]

31.5mm of rain imby.

[Typeing3]

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles


12z GEFS (GFS ensembles)

gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png

12z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)

eps_apcpn_wus_60.png

12z GEPS (GEM ensembles)

gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png

[SouthSardiswx]

33.5 mm storm total near the top of the hill in Mission.

Nice you've re located Abby Sr. you will notice a huge up tick in precip as well as rogue snow events that Abbs doesn't get as well as higher snow totals.
Are you going to make your station available here? how far up the hill are you we were near Cedar and Badger elevation 340 feet. We reached an El Neetzo 16c today along with an outstanding 36mm since midnight @ the pond in south Sardis.

[Abby_wx]

Nice you've re located Abby Sr. you will notice a huge up tick in precip as well as rogue snow events that Abbs doesn't get as well as higher snow totals.
Are you going to make your station available here? how far up the hill are you we were near Cedar and Badger elevation 340 feet. We reached an El Neetzo 16c today along with an outstanding 36mm since midnight @ the pond in south Sardis.

I'm at 515 feet just east of Cade Barr and south of Cherry.

I haven't noticed much difference so far, at least comparing to YXX. Hopefully it will be noticeable during orographic events.

[SouthSardiswx]

I'm at 515 feet just east of Cade Barr and south of Cherry.

I haven't noticed much difference so far, at least comparing to YXX. Hopefully it will be noticeable during orographic events.

Wow, nice lift Abbs Sr. ya many times 5cm down at my old place and 10cm in your area.
I always found with NE outflow as you got down the hill and of course cross the Abbs/Mission bridge the stronger the outflow.
Yes this rain event was more of a SW to NE the central valley did well hoping you'll score this winter it'll be a shame to have to wait until next year or the year after.

[wetcoast91]

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles


12z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png



12z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_60.png


12z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png

Noticed the trends showing a rather persistent split flow in the long range. El Nino conditions have arrived early!

[AbbyJr]

33.5 mm storm total near the top of the hill in Mission.

44.9 mm storm total here. 39.1 mm today. Interesting to see that I recorded slightly higher totals being south of the Fraser.

[SouthSardiswx]

44.9 mm storm total here. 39.1 mm today. Interesting to see that I recorded slightly higher totals being south of the Fraser.

You did well Jr. man well your our man in Abbs now with your neighbor in Mission but it's nice to have coverage there. There hasn't been much since l moved.

[Hawk]

vehicle said 17c around 5pm yesterday and
It felt nice out for early November..quite bommy

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image.png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (1).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (2).png

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20231103133501-500a31aec4e41e0d257028850ee9d5ff0c258a98.png

[Catnip]

The latest weeklies with an early look (which will most likely change) at Dec.

height1.png

height2.png

temp1.png

temp2.png

[wetcoast91]

Could see temps in the high teens tomorrow with strong southerly winds . Lots of convective potential tomorrow afternoon could lead to cell development.

[Hawk]

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png




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20231103133501-500a31aec4e41e0d257028850ee9d5ff0c258a98.png

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