October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[stuffradio]

It’s early but feels like any really wet periods in the models have been shortened and bookended by ridging so far this season. Feels a bit 2002-2003ish at this point me.

I've seen references to November 2018 and 2019 today on Twitter for next month followed by a warm December. I assume that's warm east and cool west for December.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Low of -1.6°C IMBY this morning. Now 5.9°C.

[Catnip]

12Z GFS has the bulk of the a bit too far South next week, sorry Neetz.

Of course we all know that can and will change.

pines.png

[Catnip]

Overnight low of -1.3c.

First negative overnight low of the season.

Yay?

[Catnip]

Euro is a bit more Nito Friendly.

euro.png

[AbbyJr]

The CFS says the slides

cfs-daily-all-c00-namer-z500_anom_7day-0870400.png

[Catnip]

The CFS says the slides


cfs-daily-all-c00-namer-z500_anom_7day-0870400.png

Don't worry Jr.

If you like to follow the CFS (for sh*ts and giggles of course) then the latest run says we will have a below normal Dec.

500.png

temp.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Overnight low of -1.3c.

First negative overnight low of the season.

Yay?

-1.6°C, my second. Tonight and tomorrow night will probably make four for the month. Would not then be surprised to then only get one or two freezes for all of November. It would be the perfect complement for a warm season that saw only one high above 32°C (90°F)… and that happened in May.

[AbbyJr]

Don't worry Jr.

If you like to follow the CFS (for sh*ts and giggles of course) then the latest run says we will have a below normal Dec.



500.png
temp.png

Yeah I wasn't posting the CFS because I actually believed it. My post was just for entertainment. I still think we could see some cold and snow in December.

[Catnip]

Yeah I wasn't posting the CFS because I actually believed it. My post was just for entertainment. I still think we could see some cold and snow in December.

Oh ya... I got that.. don't worry.

[AbbyJr]

Looking like a very wet pattern around the beginning of November.

ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_qpf-8408000.png

cmc-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_qpf-8408000.png

gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_qpf-8408000.png

[tyweather]

GOES satellite from 10 AM this morning. Snowy peaks (including Similkameen Plateau) and NE BC is visible.

[wetcoast91]

12Z GFS has the bulk of the a bit too far South next week, sorry Neetz.

Of course we all know that can and will change.

pines.png

Still looks warm though!

[SouthSardiswx]

We reached a high of 10c today @ the pond in south Sardis and it's currently 3c under clear skies and light winds.

[SouthSardiswx]

Finally it's 0.0c @ the pond in south Sardis took long enough.
It fairly dry in the central valley so nothing in the way of frost.
Edit: -1.6c is the low so far this morning with actual frost on some vehicles.