October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hound
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

I actually had to scrape frost off my car windows this morning. Nice!
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hound wrote: Thu Oct 26, 2023 7:23 pm I actually had to scrape frost off my car windows this morning. Nice!
Too much work for me Houndsie :lol: we reached a high of 10c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Annus NE winds have died off now so will see by morning if we join the frosty club in the a.m.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Was this early taste of winter weather a warning shot of more to come in November? :think:
Looking forward to the next troffy LR event to show up on the models :clap:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

It's -2 this morning
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Oct 27, 2023 5:43 am It's -2 this morning
So far 0.6c @ the pond in south Sardis :x :( that pesky slight annus NE breeze is still stirring things up in the central valley. Hopefully it drops off in the next hour or so the temp can drop abit more.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



-----------------------------------------
20231027133750-babfcfc67535057ca5c9b6d7e280634a616490c7.png
20231027133600-c35bbe5172a69ad09960877283b683a454130e71.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AI Canada's extended outlook has an El Neetzz approved plus 12c and rain by mid week for the central valley. :(
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

-1.5ËšC and still falling.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Oct 27, 2023 7:03 am -1.5ËšC and still falling.
Damn you guys in the lower mainland are killing it for freezing morning's the last couple day's still @ 0.6c in the central valley thanks to the annus never ending fake NE outflow. :roll:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Oct 27, 2023 6:38 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png




-----------------------------------------
20231027133750-babfcfc67535057ca5c9b6d7e280634a616490c7.png
20231027133600-c35bbe5172a69ad09960877283b683a454130e71.png
What the heck is that a mini late October heat hump before the Monsoons arrive mid week Twet.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Low of -1.5c in east Coquitlam!
:typing: :type3:
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

4 corners high building in the LR.

Image
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Abby_wx wrote: Thu Oct 26, 2023 1:53 pm Man, that's just insane. Hard to believe it was 6C rain here while you were getting dumped on. I consider 10 cm a good score in mid winter, let alone in October. :lol:
The official number for the Shawnigan Lake station came in at 14cm. (They always seem to record more than me in these heavy rain to snow transition events). That total will set a new daily snowfall record for October and I believe it will also make it the snowiest month of October on record.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Hound wrote: Wed Oct 25, 2023 11:30 pm Chilly at 11:30pm.
+3.2
DP -2

Wasn't it just summer?
We only have 2 seasons now. Summer and winter.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

It’s early but feels like any really wet periods in the models have been shortened and bookended by ridging so far this season. Feels a bit 2002-2003ish at this point me.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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