October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Rainiest 18 Oct at YVR was 35.8 mm in 1940. That record is sure to fall (probably already has).

Surprisingly, no.

https://twitter.com/YVR__Weather/status ... 2421423128

[Typeing3]

Surprisingly, no.

https://twitter.com/YVR__Weather/status ... 2421423128

Mediocre YVR strikes again!

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Mediocre YVR strikes again!

What’s surprising is that I’ve had nearly twice as much as they reported, and I’m really not that far from the airport.

[SouthSardiswx]

Mediocre YVR strikes again!

l can't stand YVR represting Vancouver city as a whole it's so misleading its a joke.
However living in the central valley it's awesome how YXX represents Abby as a whole weather wise nicely what a difference.
Sure it changes further north you go but what doesn't the closer to the mountains you go.
But for Chilliwack Cultus Lake does not represent Chilliwack city nor does Aggasiz However the new weather station at the Chilliwack airport seems accurate for Chilliwack and vicinity.

[SouthSardiswx]

Fog rolling into the central valley very fall like this early morning. It's currently 12c @ the pond in south Sardis.

20231019_012315.jpg

[SouthSardiswx]

This is an interesting piece l guess GPS for planes is necessary or at least a compass.

Screenshot_20231019_020635_WeatherCAN.jpg

[Hawk]

What’s surprising is that I’ve had nearly twice as much as they reported, and I’m really not that far from the airport.

Not really but i dunno..
You're on the Vanc Hill..orographic lift maybe...and proximity from Strait.. maybe Nito can tell you

[Hawk]

Good morning buttees..thanks for posting all the rain totals. Overperformed i guess based on the initial EC forecasts..and Nito was right again
Call it 70-100mm in N/NE sectors of Metro Vanc. over 2 days

AR event in mid October and Mid January..with temps sitting at ~10c both times..boo

[Hawk]

Big troffin early next week.
Snows all the way down to 100 Mile from Monday night right thru to Wednesday

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (3).png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (4).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (5).png

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20231019133425-d2b78a9addbfcd245fbce128bebf3bbf4ec4b011.png

20231019133403-41bd61a9e886c0e33c53ed2b8de50f59249da390.png

[Nordelian]

What’s surprising is that I’ve had nearly twice as much as they reported, and I’m really not that far from the airport.

There was a sharp cut off on the radar between southern Vancouver and Richmond - southern sections of LM got significantly less rain yesterday

[Catnip]

Feels fairly mild out there this am.

Rainfall data IMBY:
Weds - 26.7mm
Thursday - 64.7mm
Today as of 9am - 4mm

Total - 95.4mm

Definitely a nice soaker.

[Catnip]

Tis the season for some phantom snow maps!

lol.png

[Catnip]

Latest CFS temp outlook for the next couple of weeks:

1.png

2.png

[stuffradio]

2023101900_054@007_E1_yxx_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png

00Z EPSGram shows the temperatures could drop below 0 first week of November.