October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

It is pouring outside. +12C and very heavy rain.

Yes, my reverse psychology worked on the weather gods.

Up to 20.1 mm for the day and coming down hard. Hope to make 25 mm by midnight.

Though the temperature here is 10.4ËšC, not 12ËšC.

[SouthSardiswx]

Yes, my reverse psychology worked on the weather gods.

Up to 20.1 mm for the day and coming down hard. Hope to make 25 mm by midnight.

Though the temperature here is 10.4ËšC, not 12ËšC.

That's not acceptable in El Neeters perfect world Rubes.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Up to 27.5 mm for the day now.

[Hawk]

Hopefully it's a warning shot of what's to come in December and January. Would love to see a 1968/69 repeat but I'd settle matters with a 1956/57 repeat. It would be nice to finally get another cold January and break the curse. It's long overdue so its bound to happen at some point.

January 1957 averaged 0.2C at YXX whereas January 1969 averaged -1.9C. Both had significant arctic blasts in both December and January and long duration snow cover.

In my opinion, 1956/57 was the appetizer and 1968/69 was the real deal.

Even January 1996 was good... lots of cold onshore flow with significant snow cover at YXX... max snow depth was 38cm on January 23rd.
Multiple snowfalls with around two weeks of cold. Sure, it wasn't historical cold but it was snowy, at least in the Fraser Valley.

That said, January 1954 is the best in my opinion. Direct discharge of arctic air from the north locked in for 10-12 days. During the event, moisture laden pacific storms slammed into the firmly entrenched arctic air and took the perfect track. The cold was not pushed out of the region. The arctic high remained strong while the moisture moved overtop of it. The result was nearly 7 days of snow with Abbotsford recording its highest daily total of 49.8cm on January 21st. Seven day snow totals were 118.7cm at YXX and 69.3cm at YVR.

I know I've mentioned January 1954 a lot here but from a snow lovers perspective, it was one the best analogs for the Fraser Valley.

A repeat of one of those would so so epic. Once in a lifetime..hopefully in the next few years so i can see it still

[Hawk]

Yes, my reverse psychology worked on the weather gods.

Up to 20.1 mm for the day and coming down hard. Hope to make 25 mm by midnight.

Though the temperature here is 10.4ËšC, not 12ËšC.

25-30mm is nothing. I consider an AR event to be 100mm+ over a few days..like 3-4 days max
Nito is searching for straws

[SouthSardiswx]

Yes, my reverse psychology worked on the weather gods.

Up to 20.1 mm for the day and coming down hard. Hope to make 25 mm by midnight.

Though the temperature here is 10.4ËšC, not 12ËšC.

El Neetz deserves this award for being a loyal Pineappleist.

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[SouthSardiswx]

Up to 27.5 mm for the day now.

Only 11.4mm in the central valley for this event so far.

[SouthSardiswx]

So us snow lovers stay up half the night waiting or watching for snowflakes
So does El Nino stay up all night staring out the window at rainfalling.

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[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

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00z ECMWF ensembles:

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00z GEM ensembles:

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[Nordelian]

UBC reporting 60 mm of rain thus far and counting

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

25.9 mm since midnight, 53.3 mm storm total. And counting.

Now this is more like it!

[SouthSardiswx]

25.9 mm since midnight, 53.3 mm storm total. And counting.

Now this is more like it!

23.6mm storm total since yesterday @ the pond in south Sardis.

[arbetrader]

It's hard to believe yxx only measured 9.1mm yesterday.... I live in East abbotsford, it sure felt like way more rain than that.

[stuffradio]

It's still raining a decent amount here.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

23.6mm storm total since yesterday @ the pond in south Sardis.

Imagine how much more frustrating this would be if it were all snow…