October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Oct 13, 2023 9:50 am I looked it up a few days ago, and the average date of the first snow at YVR is 13 Dec[1]. So odds are we won’t get any snow next month.

[1] https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en/ne ... h-columbia
This is YVR tho...kinda like Abby and Pitt Meadows..prolly the last areas to get snow. But even still..Dec 13 is pretty good. Must be lots of long ago winters that skewed that number..but i will check your link now to see how far back the years go :thumbup:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Oct 13, 2023 9:50 am I looked it up a few days ago, and the average date of the first snow at YVR is 13 Dec[1]. So odds are we won’t get any snow next month.

[1] https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en/ne ... h-columbia
I don't know about snow but I do remember lots of hard frosts in the early 90s in Eastern Maple Ridge in October while I was waiting for a school bus.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Significant rain event is possible Monday of next week. However, models are in disagreement as to where the heaviest rain falls. :think:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-7511600.png
gem-all-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-7511600.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-7511600.png
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Here's a little bit of long range fantasy fun. Temps drop just below 0 and some outlier members even drop to near -5 close to Halloween!
2023101312_054@007_E1_yxx_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png
2023101312_054@007_E1_yxx_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_dz1000@500_360.png
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

We reached a comfortable high of 21c @ the pond in south Sardis today.
Caught these golden tree'd beauty's this evening in the central valley definitely fall like.
20231013_230402.jpg
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It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The 6Z GFS is quite wet
gfs_apcpn_nwus_64.png
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Welp l'm surprised no mention of this mornings solar eclipse.
Here is what we will unfortunately miss due to mostly cloudy skies so it should turn a tad
twilight during max eclipse.
Screenshot_20231014_060223_Chrome.jpg
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It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Mattman »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2023 6:07 am Welp l'm surprised no mention of this mornings solar eclipse.
Here is what we will unfortunately miss due to mostly cloudy skies so it should turn a tad
twilight during max eclipse.Screenshot_20231014_060223_Chrome.jpg
Our household is ready should Mr. Sun appear. I kept these from the 2017 eclipse.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png



----------------------------------------
20231014171835-5d041b7bb8802ba50a5db2303a8b59211d7e02f2.png
20231014171730-ee0cd75751976f801995c04416d38c4040ddd7e5.png
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Mattman wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2023 8:39 am Our household is ready should Mr. Sun appear. I kept these from the 2017 eclipse.
Yup l remember that one l was living in Mission at the time Mr. Strawmattman the high in central valley today was 16c with 5.3mm since midnight @ the pond in south Sardis.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Mattman »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2023 9:07 pm Yup l remember that one l was living in Mission at the time Mr. Strawmattman the high in central valley today was 16c with 5.3mm since midnight @ the pond in south Sardis.
I was out and about with our son in the morning. We took a pair of those lenses. When the sun poked through, he saw the eclipse as did I.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Mattman wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 6:49 am I was out and about with our son in the morning. We took a pair of those lenses. When the sun poked through, he saw the eclipse as did I.
Awesome Mr. KitchenMatt glad your son got to experience the eclipse it's kool when the young'ns experience these special events growing up you never forget. :thumbup:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

January 11-15th 1971 snowstorm in downtown Vancouver. Roughly 100cm fell in just over four days at YVR.
Screenshot_2023-10-15-12-26-41(1).png
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

First frost in 10 days?
gfs_T2m_nwus_41.png
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:30 pm January 11-15th 1971 snowstorm in downtown Vancouver. Roughly 100cm fell in just over four days at YVR.
Screenshot_2023-10-15-12-26-41(1).png
Prolly looks worse becuz no one shoveled sidewalks back then..limited road plowing..and salt and sand usage :shh:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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