October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[stuffradio]

ECMWF seasonal forecast also hinting at a cooler trend in Nov/Dec with the torch coming in Jan/Feb

Here's December

Cherry blossoms!

[wetcoast91]

Cherry blossoms!

Come on +15C and sunny in Jan and Feb!

ECMWF seasonal forecast also hinting at a cooler trend in Nov/Dec with the torch coming in Jan/Feb

Here's December

Global torching.

[stuffradio]

Come on +15C and sunny in Jan and Feb!



Global torching.

I think we have possibly had +12-14 in January, especially in El Ninos. I remember being bitten by mosquitoes in winter time.

[Weather101]

[Weather101]

Looks like we need to score late November/December. If not then we won't be seeing any snow. Looks to torch after that.

[VanCitySouth]

This seems bad, it was a tropical storm like yesterday. Pacific basin is notorious for RI though. Patricia in 2015 was the most insane storm I have ever followed and will likely remain so for years to come.

[Coquitlam79]

Lidia not the only storm to undergone rapid intensification. Super Typhoon Bolaven just did and is now a category 5 with peak wind at over 270km/h. I believe this is now the strongest typhoon of the year Going to stay over the ocean though, thankfully. Look at its recurving track. That is going to wreak havoc with the models and depending on where it ends up could create a breaking Rossby wave over the north central pacific creating a highly amplified pattern with the blocking high pressure and an extended dry spell over the West Coast to end October and into November. Stay tuned!

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[SouthSardiswx]

Lidia not the only storm to undergone rapid intensification. Super Typhoon Bolaven just did and is now a category 5 with peak wind at over 270km/h. I believe this is now the strongest typhoon of the year Going to stay over the ocean though, thankfully. Look at its recurving track. That is going to wreak havoc with the models and depending on where it ends up could create a breaking Rossby wave over the north central pacific creating a highly amplified pattern with the blocking high pressure and an extended dry spell over the West Coast to end October and into November. Stay tuned!
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Great the summer shorts and tees are close at hand Cman79. we reached a chilly high of 14c @ the pond in south Sardis.

[SouthSardiswx]

Chilliwack mountain colors coming along nicely

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Amazing how much the fall colors progressed over the long weekend. Was in the Squamish area, and on Friday afternoon I drove through a tunnel of mostly-green bigleaf maples with a splash of colour here and there. By Sunday afternoon, they were almost solid yellow.

I was just thinking that Rubes while driving down Vedder rd. in the central valley with wet leaves on the road in spots and thinking that the fall colors seem on cue this year.
Even with the dry spell to me it seemed the trees didn't seem stressed this summer. IMO

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

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00z ECMWF ensembles:

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00z GEM ensembles:

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[Hawk]

ECMWF seasonal forecast also hinting at a cooler trend in Nov/Dec with the torch coming in Jan/Feb

Here's December

wow the entite planet is torching except the USA

[Hawk]

Come on +15C and sunny in Jan and Feb!



Global torching.

oh didnt get this far..seeing the same same now sorry buttees

[stuffradio]

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[Weather101]

wow the entite planet is torching except the USA

I mean how is the torching surprising? Generally confused. It's been happening all year.

[Weather101]