October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[Bonovox]

Anyone feel this last evening l didn't at my work in Abbs down near Sumas.

I saw that alert, but didn't feel anything up this way. Unless, I am mistaken, it looks like it struck on an offshoot of the Seattle Fault. The USGS worries more about that fault than the Cascadia Subduction zone for Seattle proper. It can unleash earthquakes up to 7.0 right under the city itself.

[Catnip]

The CFS always has something fun to look at.

temp.png

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

ens_image.png

12z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (1).png

12z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (2).png

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20231010010805-a6d9491386fbc4549f4e9964fac93629e6507743.png

20231010010749-fd2557181a98fc65b025377a16cf23362f76f409.png

[AbbyJr]

The CFS always has something fun to look at.



temp.png

[SouthSardiswx]

Mid October Arctic air snowfall maps plz.

[SouthSardiswx]

Couldn't post earlier l was getting an error message.
It's currently raining and 13c @ the pond in south Sardis. Perhaps too much turkey and pumpkin

Screenshot_20231009_222503_Chrome.jpg

[SouthSardiswx]

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png




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20231010010805-a6d9491386fbc4549f4e9964fac93629e6507743.png
20231010010749-fd2557181a98fc65b025377a16cf23362f76f409.png

The GFS resembles my heart watching a Knuckles game and the bottom my blood pressure.
We reached a high of 19c in the central valley today and 4.3mm of precip since midnight.

[stuffradio]

Couldn't post earlier l was getting an error message.
It's currently raining and 13c @ the pond in south Sardis. Perhaps too much turkey and pumpkin
Screenshot_20231009_222503_Chrome.jpg

Too much eggrog

The CFSv2 Monthly is now even hinting at below normal temps in northern BC for November. At the start of the month, November was a North America wide torchfest.

[SouthSardiswx]

Too much eggrog

The CFSv2 Monthly is now even hinting at below normal temps in northern BC for November. At the start of the month, November was a North America wide torchfest.

Perhaps the models are struggling with Jr. man's -PDO -QBO and the Knuckles chances to make the playoffs stove top Stuffy man.

[Typeing3]

Too much eggrog

The CFSv2 Monthly is now even hinting at below normal temps in northern BC for November. At the start of the month, November was a North America wide torchfest.

Front loaded winter!

[SouthSardiswx]

Front loaded winter!

Oh l hope not but your most likely correct Tbar if that's the case hopefully the Knucklebrains better keep me interested while we torch through winter.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Amazing how much the fall colors progressed over the long weekend. Was in the Squamish area, and on Friday afternoon I drove through a tunnel of mostly-green bigleaf maples with a splash of colour here and there. By Sunday afternoon, they were almost solid yellow.

[VanCitySouth]

Oh l hope not but your most likely correct Tbar if that's the case hopefully the Knucklebrains better keep me interested while we torch through winter.

1991/92: one paltry October snow. Zilch for the rest.

If you have low expectations you can't be disappointed.

[stuffradio]

Oh l hope not but your most likely correct Tbar if that's the case hopefully the Knucklebrains better keep me interested while we torch through winter.

I would still consider December to be a part of the Front-Loaded definition. If we had cold/snow in December, it would still be pretty good.

[Nordelian]

ECMWF seasonal forecast also hinting at a cooler trend in Nov/Dec with the torch coming in Jan/Feb

Here's December