October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[AbbyJr]

+12C right now with rain.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

10.9 mm today. Better than the totals during most of those big storms that went south in late September.

[SouthSardiswx]

10.9 mm today. Better than the totals during most of those big storms that went south in late September.

Only 1.5mm @ the pond in south Sardis today with a fall like high of 13c.

[SouthSardiswx]

I love a sunny Thanksgiving as much as a white Christmas. The big question for the month: Will Saturday the 14th be clear in the morning for the solar eclipse? It'll be ~75% coverage of the sun.

What time will this occur? l should look it up. Didn’t we have one back in 2016 or so.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (3).png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (4).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (5).png

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[Hawk]

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png




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20231003133058-4933157f0ea276eca8d15eba2fe6fe0d2459f0db.png
20231003133043-d1dbc7e1971a9bd8fc1c757e31d6c9f1f0a7f210.png

would it be safe to say we have tremendous model agreement over the next several days? Even when the bottom drops. Solid.
The message is loud and clear on these graphs

[Mattman]

What time will this occur? l should look it up. Didn’t we have one back in 2016 or so.

Off the top of my head, it'll be 9:15am. The Mrs and I went to Oregon for the last eclipse, which was August 2017.

[SouthSardiswx]

Off the top of my head, it'll be 9:15am. The Mrs and I went to Oregon for the last eclipse, which was August 2017.

Thanks king Mattress man, l was guessing off the top of my head 2016 so August 2017 l was living in Mission at the time l recall the day of the eclipse the weather was bright and sunny we had smoke l know at some point that month it got bad l recall.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

would it be safe to say we have tremendous model agreement over the next several days? Even when the bottom drops. Solid.
The message is loud and clear on these graphs

So far, this October seems to be shaping up to be much more normal than last year's smokefest that refused to die.

Warm, sunny spells are pretty normal for October, particularly in the first half of the month.

[Bonovox]

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png




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20231003133058-4933157f0ea276eca8d15eba2fe6fe0d2459f0db.png
20231003133043-d1dbc7e1971a9bd8fc1c757e31d6c9f1f0a7f210.png

I am REALLY looking forward to the second half.

[Glacier]

Cool, sometimes you can be the 3rd hottest and the 4th coldest place in the province in the same day, and that's with a fairly low diurnal variation...

FB_IMG_1696380159660.jpg

[wetcoast91]

[SouthSardiswx]

Kinda weird El super Nino man, l'm not bothered if you get your +12 rain all winter after all your due for your dancing in the puddles, enjoy the forum is all yours.
I'll hang up the long Johnny's just for El Neetzo this one time.

[SouthSardiswx]

A.I. Canada's Rocktober Outlook. toast to toast.

Screenshot_20231003_235847_WeatherCAN.jpg

[SouthSardiswx]

Mt. Baker wearing a hat last evening.

20231003_185812.jpg