August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

Thanks for all the links, Houndman.

Yup he's one of the best at sniffing them out Bones.

[Hound]

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[Hound]

From Sorrento..
https://twitter.com/raybixon/status/1692417121731715345

[Hound]

Kelowna:
https://twitter.com/AttentiveCEE/status ... 2707054902

[SouthSardiswx]

Kelowna:
https://twitter.com/AttentiveCEE/status ... 2707054902

Crazy crazy night man, 19c @ the pond in south Sardis with a refreshing breeze continuing.

[Hound]

Ya it's cooled off quite a bit. 16c now with a good breeze.

[John]

Very nice here now, Okanagan is in big trouble

[SouthSardiswx]

Very nice here now, Okanagan is in big trouble

Oh, oh! o.k.

[SouthSardiswx]

Any update on the Hurricane headed into Socal? is our world gone crazy?

[Leighbugs]

I am nervous about waking up tomorrow to hear the latest on the fires. Hoping nobody is injured or killed. That fire is unreal.

[Mattman]

Looking worse than 2003 right now. This could be a catastrophe. The fire jumped the lake already, its bearing down on west kelowna.
I had a trip planned there on Saturday, clearly not happening.

Way too early to tell if this is worse than '03.
Okanagan Mtn Park Fire: hectares burnt: ~26k; homes destroyed 239; people evacuated ~27k.
The number of people evacuated was about 1/4 of the population of the city.

As a kid I remember clearing the forest floor when landscaping and raking multiple layers of pine needles. In those days you were allowed open burning in your yard in certain months. Those pine needles are a good as gasoline, so it was fun to burn piles of those needles. In Kelowna's history, they've been good at stamping out interface fires. In retrospect, the fires there that got away on them were in forest in need of rejuvenation (lots of fuel) and areas prone to strong winds: Mt Boucherie in May '92; Okanagan Mtn Park '03; Goat's Peak July '09. There have been a handful of spot fires from lightning since in Okanagan Mtn Park where it burned in '03. Those fires were not a threat as there was little fuel. And I remember some lightning-caused fires were tamped out quickly in Okanagan Mtn Park area prior to '03. It's a tragic inevitability with that much fuel, wind, and craggy terrain.

[stuffradio]

It's 13C this morning. The wildfires are crazy. I have relatives in Kelowna and Vernon and my sister's husband has family near Keefers where there is a big wildfire there too. One of my cousins lives in Keremeos

[Nordelian]

I don’t know how much, if any, was caused by lightning, but I was really worried about Thursday a few days back.

No lightning stikes were detected in BC on Thursday

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

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00z ECMWF ensembles:

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00z GEM ensembles:

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[Typeing3]

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