August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

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l'll trade you a 37c for a mint condition never used 21c Jr. Man, it's currently a pleasant summer evening and 21c @ the pond in south Sardis.

[SouthSardiswx]

Finally got rescued...by a beautiful mermaid.
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Now we seem to be missing Tripper last known location somewhere around Smithers.
https://www.pinterest.ca/pin/103301385193627405/

[AbbyJr]

At least I'll be able to put my portable A/C to good use...

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[SouthSardiswx]

At least I'll be able to put my portable A/C to good use...


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That's absolutely insane if this verifies.

[PortKells]

That's absolutely insane if this verifies.

Not anymore. That is now totally normal and expected and what a heatwave means now.

[John]

Not anymore. That is now totally normal and expected and what a heatwave means now.

If we see 40 again this year, I will never deny climate change.

Ok I believe in it already lol

But doubt those temps will be close

[PortKells]

If we see 40 again this year, I will never deny climate change.

Ok I believe in it already lol

But doubt those temps will be close

If we ever get another cool/average (long term average) summer I'm going to look at it like I look at last winter, a very rare glimpse at what our climate used to be.

[PortKells]

Today's GFS looks good for rain and for less extreme heat.

[SouthSardiswx]

If we see 40 again this year, I will never deny climate change.

Ok I believe in it already lol

But doubt those temps will be close

That's what we laughed at in June 2021 John. It's currently 25c John @ the pond in south Sardis.

[PortKells]

That's what we laughed at in June 2021 John. It's currently 25c John @ the pond in south Sardis.

Don't forget, Squamish hit 40 degrees less than two months after that. I believe the lower mainland capped out in the upper 38-39 range in the August edition.

[John]

Don't forget, Squamish hit 40 degrees less than two months after that. I believe the lower mainland capped out in the upper 38-39 range in the August edition.

Is the euro still on team heat?

[AbbyJr]

For those concerned about the potential for extreme heat mid month, it’s not time to panic yet. Models are still undecided.

The Euro has backed off significantly the past few runs as it develops and keeps the ridge further west offshore. Much cooler solution.

The past couple GEM runs develop a heat dome right over BC. Very hot solution.

The GFS is different every run.

Based on historical accuracy, the Euro is favoured and therefore, if the current trend continues, we may get lucky and avoid a major heatwave. But it’s still too soon to say for sure.

[John]

For those concerned about the potential for extreme heat mid month, it’s not time to panic yet. Models are still undecided.

The Euro has backed off significantly the past few runs as it develops and keeps the ridge further west offshore. Much cooler solution.

The past couple GEM runs develop a heat dome right over BC. Very hot solution.

The GFS is different every run.

Based on historical accuracy, the Euro is favoured and therefore, if the current trend continues, we may get lucky and avoid a major heatwave. But it’s still too soon to say for sure.

Ok thanks for the update !!

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

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12z ECMWF ensembles:

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12z GEM ensembles:

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[Typeing3]

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