May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19525
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53187 times
Been thanked: 16686 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Glacier wrote: Wed May 17, 2023 1:24 pm Note: I was cherry picking the stations for that graph just to gaslight Stuffradio into thinking he's going crazy.

As the above graph shows, yesterday was the hottest day yet where all the cool people live (Ashcroft, Kamloops, Blue River, Clinton, Blue River, Puntzi Mountain, and Merritt).

But we had a drop in temperatures where all the losers, axe murderers, and the like live (the rest of us).

A MASSIVE drop of up to 12 degrees yesterday. At the other end of the spectrum was the Langara Island lighthouse station on the northern tip of Haida Gwaii where yesterday was 7.2 degrees hotter than the day before...

may2023b.png
:lol: That's insane Glace but once again most likely it's correct that's why my hometown is also called the Whack or Whacko or Whacksville. :crazy:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 3908
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 22050 times
Been thanked: 7373 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed May 17, 2023 6:25 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
Thank you for posting these :thanks: :thanks: Nice to see the rain hanging on over the models. Thanks for posting the accumulated precip maps also. Depending on the map I'm in the 0.4 or 1.0" range, it's not much but better than nothing. :clap: :clap: Too bad it's not snow, then it'd be worth writing home about. :lol: :lol:
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12683 times
Been thanked: 6463 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Temps will be dropping 7 to 9 degrees this weekend so that we will be around 3 to 4 c above normal by then :shock:
Stop this Ridiculous Ridging! We need a WC troff to park it again. It's only mid May and the lettuces are bolting already :roll:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Nordelian
Cloud Watcher
Cloud Watcher
Posts: 60
Joined: Sat Aug 13, 2022 7:30 am
Location: Vancouver Fairview
Elevation: 50 M.
Has thanked: 1 time
Been thanked: 228 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Nordelian »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed May 17, 2023 5:48 pm The 12Z Euro wants to build another heat ridge in the long range. :clap: :thumbup:


ecmwf-deterministic-wcan-z500_norm_anom-5188800.png
I won't say how I know, but the Canadian seasonal model is also showing a hot and dry summer- particularly June
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3752
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4108 times
Been thanked: 7993 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed May 17, 2023 5:48 pm The 12Z Euro wants to build another heat ridge in the long range. :clap: :thumbup:


ecmwf-deterministic-wcan-z500_norm_anom-5188800.png
No, not :clap: :thumbup: , :( !
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19525
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53187 times
Been thanked: 16686 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Nordelian wrote: Thu May 18, 2023 7:52 am I won't say how I know, but the Canadian seasonal model is also showing a hot and dry summer- particularly June
Ah man, l had a feeling were in for a rough summer Nords thanks for the heads up :sick: l think :x my guess is 0 T.S. as well perhaps from time to time spillage over the coast mountains but again not much over the lower mainland.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19525
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53187 times
Been thanked: 16686 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Thu May 18, 2023 8:43 am No, not :clap: :thumbup: , :( !
Already feeling :sick: about another round Van man
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Glacier
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1792
Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vernon
Elevation: 545m/1788 ft
Has thanked: 441 times
Been thanked: 4129 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed May 17, 2023 8:08 pm :lol: That's insane Glace but once again most likely it's correct that's why my hometown is also called the Whack or Whacko or Whacksville. :crazy:
What's really insane is that the temperature rose for 10 days in a row! Outside of the winter months, that has never happened before in BC that I can find. Kamloops has records back to 1896, and only once before has this occurred and that was in January of 2007. Never during a heatwave has it gotten progressively warmer for 10 days straight...
maxdaily2.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6161
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6129 times
Been thanked: 14050 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Smoke starting to mix into the lower atmosphere. You can smell it at times. AQ index between 4 or 5 so it's not the best day to do intensive cardio if you have sensative lungs.

Should hopefully clear out tomorrow night with the flow shifting onshore. Smoke will still be in the upper atmosphere until Monday when we get a ULL with a trough swing down the Coast.

This would really help the fire situation with snow at 2000m.
Image
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5273
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4351 times
Been thanked: 10607 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: Thu May 18, 2023 8:43 am No, not :clap: :thumbup: , :( !
And, most likely, :13fire: .
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9710
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11899 times
Been thanked: 21473 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

12 Euro Precip for the next 10 days.

#dry
ecmwfprecip.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9710
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11899 times
Been thanked: 21473 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Umm Neetz?

:think: :think:

#DRY
eps precip.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6161
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6129 times
Been thanked: 14050 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Thu May 18, 2023 2:11 pm Umm Neetz?

:think: :think:

#DRY

eps precip.png
Good weather for the cacti and tumbleweed.
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5273
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4351 times
Been thanked: 10607 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu May 18, 2023 2:24 pm Good weather for the cacti and tumbleweed.
And :13fire: . Lots of :13fire: .
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12660
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22038 times
Been thanked: 24413 times

Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rain for holiday Monday... Typical! :lol:
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_17.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Post Reply