May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Currently 24.5°, indoor and outdoor.
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

It’s currently 33.1C here. Honestly, given the offshore flow and clear skies, I don’t think 35C is out of reach today. :shock: :thumbup:
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun May 14, 2023 2:37 pm It’s currently 33.1C here. Honestly, given the offshore flow and clear skies, I don’t think 35C is out of reach today. :shock: :thumbup:
Tell em Jr!!!
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by arbetrader »

Hey all!

Super awesome out :)

CYXX max high so far 33.6C - new record for Abbotsford - perhaps for May? Does anyone know?

Perhaps the wind changed direction a bit - temp is down a few degrees. We'll see how we end up in a few hours :)
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

arbetrader wrote: Sun May 14, 2023 3:33 pm Hey all!

Super awesome out :)

CYXX max high so far 33.6C - new record for Abbotsford - perhaps for May? Does anyone know?

Perhaps the wind changed direction a bit - temp is down a few degrees. We'll see how we end up in a few hours :)
Monthly record high for YXX is 36.0c, set during the May 1983 heatwave.
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Sat May 13, 2023 12:11 pm yep, and most summers from here on out. When was the last cooler than average summer? Or wetter than average? 2011?
2020.
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

The upper level pattern is stuck unfortunately. We saw this alot last summer too especially in late Aug, Sept and early October. Get used to these types of outlooks. I'd post the 8-14 day but they're literally exactly the same.
610temp.new-2.gif
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun May 14, 2023 3:38 pm2020.
Mind posting the stats?
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

18z gfs offers a reprieve from dryness. The EPS was starting to lean in that direction too but there's a long way to go.
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Sun May 14, 2023 4:03 pm Mind posting the stats?
YXX (Av high/Mean/Av low/Total precip)

Jun: 19.5c/15.2c/10.8c/75.9mm
Jul: 23.4c/18.0c/12.5c/50.1mm
Aug: 23.9c/18.0c/12.0c/43.7mm
Sep: 22.7c/17.3c/11.9c/51.7mm



You mentioned summer rainfall too; here's what that looks like over the years in Vancouver (Steveston/YVR) and Abbotsford.
Image


Image
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

Warm at my place. Registered 35 at 3pm. Cooling fast to the west.

Picture from 2:30pm
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

Warm in the Wack too. But I bet official EC will say the valley only reached 32.
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

Radar wrote: Sun May 14, 2023 4:22 pm Warm at my place. Registered 35 at 3pm. Cooling fast to the west.

Picture from 2:30pm
That 37 is probably correct as there is a good heat island effect in that area due to all the pavement.
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun May 14, 2023 3:37 pm Monthly record high for YXX is 36.0c, set during the May 1983 heatwave.
Boston Bar hit 40c in the 1983 May heatwave. I remember a 1993 May heat wave as well. More recently 2008 and 2018. This isn't that unprecedented. What would be unprecedented is the longevity of heat(10 days plus) if this ridge sticks around .
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Sun May 14, 2023 4:42 pm Boston Bar hit 40c in the 1983 May heatwave. I remember a 1993 May heat wave as well. More recently 2008 and 2018. This isn't that unprecedented. What would be unprecedented is the longevity of heat(10 days plus) if this ridge sticks around .
The 1897 May heatwave was right up there too. Spences Bridge hit 40.6c.

Edit: In fact May 1897 as a whole was really warm. Month average high was 25.4c in Agassiz! I think there was something wrong with that station in 1897-1898 though, as the summer temps were much warmer than surrounding stations (even though both summers were very hot). In the same month, Chilliwack recorded an average high of 21.9c. Still quite warm for May but more than 4 degrees cooler than Agassiz.
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