May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

tyweather wrote: Tue May 09, 2023 5:18 pm I plotted the maximum from each month and put in 33 for this month for Agassiz. It looks like we are due for a hot one. Looks like the trendline of extreme temps have been pretty steady since 1990, which is surprising.
This is for May?
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The 00Z GEM shows borderline extreme heat next weekend. Probably overdone but would be very impressive if Abbotsford hits 37C this early in the season. The record is 36C on May 29th 1983 so this weekends event is a couple weeks earlier. Not impossible but I'm skeptical.

In my opinion, 33-34C would be a more realistic solution. :thumbup:

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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue May 09, 2023 9:50 pm The 00Z GEM shows borderline extreme heat next weekend. Probably overdone but would be very impressive if Abbotsford hits 37C this early in the season. The record is 36C on May 29th 1983 so this weekends event is a couple weeks earlier. Not impossible but I'm skeptical.

In my opinion, 33-34C would be a more realistic solution. :thumbup:


gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-3676800.png
The late May 1983 heatwave was a beast. Temps also peaked around 35-36c in eastern Metro Vancouver. Even YVR cracked 30c, and Burnaby mountain had a extreme high low of 24c.
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue May 09, 2023 10:01 pm The late May 1983 heatwave was a beast. Temps also peaked around 35-36c in eastern Metro Vancouver. Even YVR cracked 30c, and Burnaby mountain had a extreme high low of 24c.
Ah man l remember that Thot, living in Coquitlam down by North Rd. and Lougheed in a hot 2nd floor apartment man that was brutal. Wasn't this the year Dec 83 when the forecasted snowfall warning for Christmas eve never happened we discussed this before.
Can't forget the B.C.Lions lost to the Toronto Argonauts at B.C. Place 18 - 17 that was a disappointing year. TBH
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Weather101 wrote: Tue May 09, 2023 1:17 pm Finally something you and I agree on. Ridiculous is right.
Frame it. :lol:
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hash tags for this summer just issued :sick:
#provincialstateofemergency
#smokefest
#extremeheatwarning
#massivewildfires
#drought
Feel free to add
#Bones
#hound
#elneetz
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

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20230510132619-4c4f98de58b78de3d87545bd1fa1e5f95c1c4e2f.png
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

00z EPS

Not much precip for the next 2 weeks.

#dry
1.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Wed May 10, 2023 8:36 am 00z EPS

Not much precip for the next 2 weeks.

#dry

1.png
Not good, Catman. Not good. :tiredos:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Wed May 10, 2023 10:12 am Not good, Catman. Not good. :tiredos:
Nope.

:thumbdown:
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue May 09, 2023 9:50 pm The 00Z GEM shows borderline extreme heat next weekend. Probably overdone but would be very impressive if Abbotsford hits 37C this early in the season. The record is 36C on May 29th 1983 so this weekends event is a couple weeks earlier. Not impossible but I'm skeptical.

In my opinion, 33-34C would be a more realistic solution. :thumbup:


gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-3676800.png
That's so gross lol it's may
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed May 10, 2023 12:05 am Frame it. :lol:
Burn it you mean
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Re: May 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

:eh:
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