November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

That's the control run. It always seems to spit out these crazy cold solutions. What exactly is the deal with it?

Not too sure. Fun to look at though. I recall one of these runs in late Jan showing temps 20C below normal for us in early Feb... obviously we did end up getting an arctic blast but nothing that extreme.

[Monty]

Too bad it wasn’t cold right now. We’re likely going to see a nice deformation band setup across the south coast later today, as that low slides just to our south.

[Catnip]

So who's excited for the 12z Euro?

[tyweather]

Good to see our blue friend

[PortKells]

Too early to get a little excited? Nito?

[Monty]

That Rex block pattern has disappeared from the models in a hurry. Kind of a surprising turn of events

[Catnip]

That Rex block pattern has disappeared from the models in a hurry. Kind of a surprising turn of events

Goes to show that anything can happen. Of course it could also flip right back to that solution as well.

[Catnip]

Too early to get a little excited? Nito?

It's always too early to get excited around these parts.

[Storm]

Screenshot_20191118-101744_Twitter.jpg

[Monty]

Goes to show that anything can happen. Of course it could also flip right back to that solution as well.

Nope. Only colder and snowier runs are ahead.

[Catnip]

12z vs last night's 00z

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[Monty]

12z vs last night's 00z

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Just my gut feeling but I don’t think we’ll see enough amplification to deliver arctic air in the week 2 period. Active and cool with mountain snow is probably a good bet though

[Catnip]

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[stuffradio]

12Z GFS hour 372 516 thickness!

[Typeing3]

Just my gut feeling but I don’t think we’ll see enough amplification to deliver arctic air in the week 2 period. Active and cool with mountain snow is probably a good bet though

Pretty much what I've been thinking all along. Cool and active late Nov thru mid Dec. Perhaps some slushfalls for higher elevations.