November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[Forrest Gump]

Special weather statement

A wet and windy weekend for Coastal BC

Heavy rain and strong winds are in store for coastal communities of BC this weekend. An atmospheric river will take aim at northern Vancouver Island and the Central Coast beginning early Saturday morning delivering heavy rain and mild conditions until mid-day Sunday. The heaviest rainfall is expected along the west side of Vancouver Island and coastal communities of the Central Coast. The details remain to be finalized however; total rainfall amounts in excess of 100 mm are likely over these areas.

Given the tropical origin of the atmospheric river, freezing levels will be on the rise upwards of 3000 metres for the South Coast and close to 2500 metres for the North Coast. The mild air will result in rain at almost all elevations. High runoff and rising river levels are likely through the weekend.

Mountainous regions further south including the Sunshine Coast, Howe Sound and the North Shore Mountains will also see significant rainfall, potentially exceeding the rainfall warning criteria of 50 mm in 24 hours.

In addition to the heavy rain, strong winds will also accompany the moisture-laden system. Exposed coastal communities along West Vancouver Island, the Central and North Coasts will likely experience wind gusts in excess of 90km/h on Saturday morning.

The public is encouraged to monitor potential rainfall and wind warnings from Environment and Climate Change Canada as well as potential high streamflow advisories or flood watches from the BC River Forecast Centre.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.

[Hawk]

Nito 3
Snow Lovers 0.

No -2 actually..but prolly still get rain in Abby at that temp tho

[Roberts Creeker]

Special weather statement

A wet and windy weekend for Coastal BC

Heavy rain and strong winds are in store for coastal communities of BC this weekend. An atmospheric river will take aim at northern Vancouver Island and the Central Coast beginning early Saturday morning delivering heavy rain and mild conditions until mid-day Sunday. The heaviest rainfall is expected along the west side of Vancouver Island and coastal communities of the Central Coast. The details remain to be finalized however; total rainfall amounts in excess of 100 mm are likely over these areas.

Given the tropical origin of the atmospheric river, freezing levels will be on the rise upwards of 3000 metres for the South Coast and close to 2500 metres for the North Coast. The mild air will result in rain at almost all elevations. High runoff and rising river levels are likely through the weekend.

Mountainous regions further south including the Sunshine Coast, Howe Sound and the North Shore Mountains will also see significant rainfall, potentially exceeding the rainfall warning criteria of 50 mm in 24 hours.

Any expectations of this verifying?

Can you imagine how epic it would be if it fell as snow?

[tyweather]

Looks like we are waiting until November 25 for mountain snow. At least it has been consistently shown.

[Catnip]

https://twitter.com/ecccweatherbc/statu ... 28769?s=21

[Hawk]

Looks like we are waiting until November 25 for mountain snow. At least it has been consistently shown.

Or if not..then maybe not until December.

[Hawk]

Golden Ears at 5600+ feet is bare and dry at the top. Same with the Coquihalla all month pretty much. Nada cep maybe the peaks around 5500 feet plus look like a dusting thats about it.
Drought, Wetcoast style

[Catnip]

9548CD99-ACAA-45B0-BEC7-F98AB25EC3A1.png

[Forrest Gump]

Any expectations of this verifying?

Can you imagine how epic it would be if it fell as snow?

I'm fully expecting Sardineman and El Nito to kill it in this year's opening performance of The Atmospheric River Dance.
That's the price we have to pay in order for John's epic winter prediction to be fulfilled.

[Glacier]

#YukonArcticHigh

https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 50&Month=1#

Siberian High!

[Roberts Creeker]

I'm fully expecting Sardineman and El Nito to kill it in this year's opening performance of The Atmospheric River Dance.
That's the price we have to pay in order for John's epic winter prediction to be fulfilled.

Looking forward to their performance at the annual awards banquet. Do they know a thunder snow dance?

[SouthSardiswx]

Knucks have come back to tie it up against the Stars 2-2 now. they loose again 4-2

[Antares]

Lowlands of eastern France have gotten the first snow. Don't worry guys, we'll get there when it matters most (1949/1950 / 1968/1969)

[Catnip]

O0z gfs drier overall than the last few runs.

41D0ECA9-FDE4-4685-A2B8-27AFC75B5E97.png

483A862A-5808-436C-95EC-7FB5D827E9A3.png

[Catnip]

Ensembles also drier.

F3A8B7E8-A94E-4593-A3D2-25577FF5C191.png