February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

ICON is completely different for Monday. Setup looks colder than today which would bode well for snow chances.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Also the models continue to indicate that the dominant NPAC ridge we have seen the past 20 days will be undercut in the extended range :thumbup:
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z ICON looks quite snowy next Monday. 00z GFS? Completely different; Dry and cold.

Euro to tiebreak again.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 19, 2019 8:14 pm Also the models continue to indicate that the dominant NPAC ridge we have seen the past 20 days will be undercut in the extended range :thumbup:
Yes the models are trying to break the pattern lock. Didn't they try to do this over a week ago as well and nothing happened Nito? :bang: :bang: :bang: :bs:
Last edited by Hawk on Tue Feb 19, 2019 8:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Cloverdale »

Day 9 with solid snow cover. Quite impressive.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: ↑Tue Feb 19, 2019 8:18 pm Yes the models are.trying to break the pattern lock. Didn't they try to do this over a week ago as well and nothing happened Nito? :bang: :bang: :bang: :bs:
12z EURO undercut the block by day 8 but started to rebuild the NPAC ridge thereafter.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Cloverdale wrote: ↑Tue Feb 19, 2019 8:19 pm Day 9 with solid snow cover. Quite impressive.
How much on the ground currently out there?
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Cloverdale »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 19, 2019 8:20 pm How much on the ground currently out there?
I would say probably less than 10cm on the grass and roofs plus all the snow piles. It is of the well packed old snow variety.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 19, 2019 8:14 pm Also the models continue to indicate that the dominant NPAC ridge we have seen the past 20 days will be undercut in the extended range :thumbup:
I’m guessing about 1.5 - 2 more weeks then pattern change time.

:dunno:
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

If YVR can hold on to the subfreezing monthly average, this would be the coldest month since January 1993!
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 19, 2019 8:27 pm If YVR can hold on to the subfreezing monthly average, this would be the coldest month since January 1993!
Wow. Very impressive!
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Feb 19, 2019 8:25 pm I’m guessing about 1.5 - 2 more weeks then pattern change time.

:dunno:
So more snow chances or dry and slow moderation? I'm asking for Jr. :question2:
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Feb 19, 2019 8:00 pm For those wondering how the FV3 has been performing:

https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/109 ... 03488?s=21
Could this be moved to Model Forecast Reliability? I would like to have it there to compare/refer to in the future
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Roberts Creeker wrote: ↑Tue Feb 19, 2019 8:30 pm Could this be moved to Model Forecast Reliability? I would like to have it there to compare/refer to in the future
Posted there as well.

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2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

You are a mod, you can just go make a new post with the twitter link. :thumbup:
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